On June 2, the market showed important signals, revealing the true intentions of different cryptocurrencies. In simple terms: BTC has a high risk of inducing buying during fluctuations, while ETH is more likely to break out first!

[BTC Market Breakdown]

In the spot market, the net inflow of funds into BTC is about 119 million USDT. At first glance, it seems that the main force is accumulating, but the order book shows heavy selling pressure (imbalance -26.4%), indicating this may be a 'high position distribution.' The futures market is even more intriguing: in the last 3 hours, funds surged by 265 million USDT, especially at 14:00 when a fierce battle between bulls and bears occurred—large amounts of funds flowed in but did not push prices up significantly, likely a washout + false breakout. The capital flow divergence between spot and futures must be monitored for potential false upward trends driven by futures capital.

[ETH is quietly laying the groundwork for a breakout]

The funding structure of ETH is significantly healthier. Both spot and futures show net inflows, with spot inflow at 36 million and futures reaching 372 million USDT, while the order book shows a slight buyer advantage (imbalance +4.2%).

On June 2 at 14:00, ETH showed a combination of 'increased volume + capital inflow' in both spot and futures markets, which is usually the last signal before a breakout.

Overall, ETH may be building momentum to challenge the key level of 2610, with a target of 2680 after the breakout.

[Short-term Trend Analysis]

For BTC, it is still oscillating around the high point of 105,000, although futures provide support, but the selling pressure in the spot market is heavy. The short-term target range is 103,500 – 107,000, and it needs to be confirmed within 48 hours whether a valid breakout occurs.

ETH has a healthier structure and funding; if the breakout at 2610 is confirmed, the short-term target is 2580 – 2680, with a window period of 24–36 hours.

Note: If BTC cannot break through and stabilize at 105,000, it may affect the breakout rhythm of ETH; remain vigilant.

[Trading Strategy Suggestions]

BTC Strategy: Mainly range trading, high selling and low buying

Long Position: 104,500, Stop Loss 103,500 (Risk 2.5%)

Short Position: 106,800, Stop Loss 107,800 (Risk 3%)

Suggested Position: 25%

Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5

ETH Strategy: Buy on Breakout

Entry Point: Enter after confirming breakout at 2610

Stop Loss: 2550 (Risk 2.3%)

Target Price: 2680 (Reduce position by 50%, remaining position to track profit)

Suggested Position: 30%

Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3

✅ Summary in One Sentence: Short-term opportunities in ETH are better than BTC; the key is to watch if BTC stabilizes at 105,000. Current major players are very active, high false breakout risk; strict stop-loss is advised!#加密市场反弹 #BTC
#ETH