šØ BTCUSDT: Short-Term Pullback Likely - Bearish Swing Trade Setup! šØ
Analysis Summary
- Bearish Signals Dominant:
- StochRSI (86.4) & Williams %R (-14.1): Overbought territory.
- OBV (-27,800): Selling pressure accelerating.
- Long/Short Ratio (69.28% Long): Overcrowded longs ā contrarian reversal risk.
- Basis Rate (-0.05%): Perpetual trading below spot (bearish sentiment).
- Bullish Mitigations:
- MACD (272.2) & RSI 6 (61.6) support upside, but exhaustion signs clear.
- Verdict: Expect a short-term correction before bulls regroup!
---
### Trade Strategy
Direction:BEARISH (Short-term swing trade)
- Entry Zone:105,500 - 105,800
Why? Resistance at 24h High (105,858) + Upper Bollinger Band (106,033.7).
- Targets:
- TP1: 104,500 (Middle Bollinger Band support).
- TP2: 103,500 (Lower Bollinger Band + 24h Low confluence).
- Stop Loss:106,150 (Above Upper Bollinger Band).
- Leverage: Low (3-5x to avoid volatility wipeout).
Confidence:75% (Strong technical confluence but trend remains mid-term bullish).
### Key Risks
1. Unexpected macro catalyst (e.g., ETF news) could break resistance.
2. If BTC holds above 106,150, cancel trade and reevaluate.
3. Always use ā¤2% portfolio risk per trade!
Follow for updates!