Cryptocurrency Short-Term Trading Strategies: A Decade of Trading Insights from a Tri-Season Trader
Core Four-Step Trading System: Discipline-Driven Compounding Principle
1. Cryptocurrency Sniping Strategy—MACD Golden Cross Hunting Technique
Core Logic: Capture the golden cross pattern above the zero axis on the daily chart, which serves as a confirmation signal for a bullish trend, with a historical win rate of 68%. Avoid the lure of the golden cross trap below the zero axis, as seen in April 2024 when Ethereum experienced a MACD golden cross above the water, resulting in a 40% increase over three weeks, yielding returns twice that of the market.
2. Moving Average Life-and-Death Line Trading Rules
Key Threshold: The 20-day moving average serves as the dividing line between bullish and bearish, with price stabilization triggering an offensive mode; if it falls below, an unconditional liquidation is required. Market Validation: Breakouts are often accompanied by the withdrawal of main funds, and going against the trend is a primary cause of liquidation.
3. Dynamic Position Management Art
- Full Position Attack Conditions: Price and trading volume simultaneously break through the moving average (e.g., BTC breaking through the key level of $60,000 with volume)
- Tiered Profit-Taking Strategy: Lock in 1/3 of the position at 40% profit, reduce another 1/3 at 80% profit, and track the trend with the remaining position; if the moving average is breached, immediately execute the “nuclear button” liquidation
4. Stop-Loss Iron Rule—Discipline More Important Than Breathing
The underlying logic of cutting losses on breakouts: Historical data shows that 87% of liquidations stem from “hopeful waiting”; disciplined stop-loss is 100 times more important than single trade gains or losses.
Five-Dimensional Trading Maxim: Decoding Market Sentiment
1. Spatial Game Rules
“High-level consolidation hides danger, low-level bottoming awaits takeoff”—the consolidation period is positively correlated with subsequent gains, beware of top oscillation luring buyers.
2. Breakout Confirmation Principle
“Do not chase prices during consolidation, enter only when direction is clear”—80% of losses come from illogical frequent trading; waiting for breakout signals ensures win rate.
3. Volume-Price Contrarian Strategy
“Build positions on shrinking bearish candles, take profits on expanding bullish candles”—the rule of contrarian trading, specifically targeting market panic and chasing funds.
4. Downward Response Strategy
“Do not catch falling knives during sharp declines, wait for rebounds during slow declines”—there will always be a technical rebound after a sharp drop; do not easily catch falling knives in a slow decline trend.
5. Position Management Philosophy
“The more it rises, the more to reduce positions; the more it falls, the more to build positions”—use the pyramid building method to ensure holding costs are lower than the market leaders.
