Market analysis

11:00

$BTC Exploring new lows at 103K, the trend downward has not diminished. Based on the current situation, the probability of breaking 103K or even 102K is high; specifics need to be observed in future trends.

The market's rise and fall distribution is heavily influenced by BTC, showing similar extreme fluctuations as the previous day. Observing the enormous risks off the market.

17:00

After BTC was raised by less than 1%, it continued to probe down to 103K, with the market's rise and fall distribution almost all showing a downward trend. Most currencies showed small one-way K-line movements, with some having several times the fluctuation compared to normal days. The risk is high.

21:00

BTC has not yet explored new lows, rising 0.5% and hovering above 103K without breaking through. Is it forming a bottom or continuing to decline?

Entry target: $HIFI

Entry time: 11:59

Entry point: 0.0848 Short selling

Exit point: 0.0875

Profit and loss ratio: -3.3%

Review and insights

1,

Watching the big ups and downs

Eager to move

But the risks are also magnifying as it continues.

To reap the benefits, one must also bear the burdens!

If unable to bear it, giving up is also a good choice.

2,

Before entering the position, I compared with other pre-selected $PNUT and $EIGEN.

Regardless of which option is chosen in the same time period

Short selling through pullbacks

In the end, a loss of about 3% is expected.

Summary:

When the entry point is in an unfavorable position and the trend is singular, with very little pullback. To reduce losses, exit as soon as possible.

3,

Observe the market for the next two hours after exiting. If you resist the trend, the loss will be between 2.5% and 4.5%.

Cannot wait for satisfactory results.

Summary:

No stop loss, resisting the trend, lost the child, and incidentally lost the wife too

4,

Combining the trades of the past few days, I found that every entry point was in an unfavorable position.

This indicates that the entry strategy has problems and needs adjustments.

6,

The state that should have been there

When the trend goes against you

Do not get angry out of shame

When the trend goes in your direction

Do not flail about

When the trend is stagnant

Restless

Just like sitting in an exam room during student days

Just answer the questions, avoid careless mistakes

Completed all possible answers

As for whether it is consistent with the answer

How many points can be scored should be considered later, unrelated to the present.

7,

No matter how many principles I heard from a young age or how many theories I learned,

In the end, nothing beats the profound insights and experiences gained by personally engaging.

Even after experiencing the same event

Different people can understand and perceive differently

Therefore, the conclusions are also different

The impact on the future is also different

8,

Predictions only have a certain probability

Which is more important, reducing losses or pursuing profits?

9,

Dragon Boat Festival

Aliases: Dragon Festival, Zhengyang Festival, Dragon Boat Festival, Tianzhong Festival

Fifth day of the fifth month in the lunar calendar

China's multi-ethnic traditional festivals

Commemorative figures: Qu Yuan, Wu Zixu, Cao E, etc.

This festival originated in the Han Dynasty. The Eastern Han recorded that the Dragon Boat Festival was established to prevent military service, evil spirits, diseases, and epidemics.

#认知社 #交易训练 #交易认知

#RealityCheck #today