No one can predict the market's ups and downs in advance,

except for Madame Melaf.

If you want to make money, open long and short positions in advance, and then whisper in Trump's ear.

This guy Trump, has no grip on reality, today he's here, tomorrow he's there, nothing is certain or reliable. Maybe he wants to see Madame Melaf's horseback riding skills, if that’s satisfying.

The world situation can be casually mentioned, tomorrow Melaf, you go short.

In the tariff standoff with the EU, it ended in 48 hours, recently traders are also going crazy, no one dares to make any plans because tomorrow you don't know what kind of nonsense Trump will come up with.

Yesterday, U.S. stocks surged, the brilliant seven once again made a dazzling appearance, technology is always productivity. They say the U.S. economy is stagnating, but as long as AI develops, the U.S. economy will still be lifted. It's just that recently we haven't seen the East country boasting loudly about AI; is it because Xiaomi has recently made chips and can lead again?

As for the situation between Europe and Russia, it seems to be a futile effort, Trump's shouting, threats, and constraints have no effect. Big Russia continues to advance, with missiles and drones bombing daily.

Even Trump said that Putin has gone mad. If Europe is unstable, the world economy will continue to be turbulent.

Currently, from the daily level, the highs are decreasing, and the upward momentum is insufficient; it might be time to consider going short. There is a divergence at the top, and the current area is a risk zone; recently, there has been a large capital outflow, with a MACD death cross and a trend towards a pullback. It is not recommended to chase highs; patience is needed for spot trading. The support below is around 100,000.

At the four-hour level, it is very important. Currently, if the four-hour level cannot recover above 109,000, it will effectively break the upward trend line and continue downward. The MACD death cross indicates a continued downward trend. It is suggested to short at 109,000 with a stop loss around 111,500 and a take profit near 102,000.

From the three-day line pattern, it has not effectively broken the previous high, the MACD has turned bullish, but the bullish strength is weakening. However, the long-term trend is still upward; pullbacks should be focused on for long positions. Patience is needed for spot trading. The support below is around 92,000.

As long as you don't leave this market, you will always encounter sharp rises and falls; there is no such thing as eternal correctness, just cyclical ups and downs. A sharp drop shouldn’t be far off. Everyone should always be cautious, as if walking on thin ice.