Scene One: Powell's "Riddler" performance
This morning, Fed Chair Powell suddenly stirred things up, saying, "We might cut rates this year," and then added, "but it depends on subsequent data." This operation is like your partner saying, "I might take you on a trip next week," but won't tell you whether it's Sanya or the park downstairs.
There are only two key pieces of information:
Inflation is indeed decreasing, but it hasn't reached the 2% KPI yet.
The job market is too hot, with an unemployment rate of only 4.2% (equivalent to 2 out of 50 students failing in a class).
Scene Two: Market rollercoaster recorded
As soon as the news broke, global capital directly staged a "Sichuan opera face-changing":
U.S. stocks: The Dow dropped 300 points in half an hour, but tech stocks rebounded secretly (large funds are switching tracks)
U.S. Treasuries: The 10-year yield soared to 4%, and the bank wealth management products for older ladies are about to shrink again.
Crypto market: Bitcoin retraced 8% in half an hour, but bottom-fishing funds instantly supported the price (a certain whale wallet bought 20,000 BTC).
The key point is: this sharp drop and rise is actually institutions "testing the waters." It's like a barbecue stall owner first sprinkles some chili powder and decides whether to add more based on the customers' reactions.
Scene Three: A guide for ordinary people to pick up bargains
For the next three months, just focus on these three dates:
June 7 Non-Farm Payroll Night: If employment data is below expectations, the crypto market may replicate the skyrocketing script from May.
June 12 CPI: If inflation falls below 4%, the probability of ETH spot ETF approval will double.
June 19 Federal Reserve meeting: If the dot plot collectively "turns dovish," altcoins have at least 30% upside potential.
Personal experience: Before the Fed turned dovish last December, I positioned myself with SOL three days in advance, resulting in a 45% surge in 72 hours. This time the script may be even more exciting, as large institutions are now holding cash waiting for entry signals.
Ultimate soul-searching question
When Wall Street big shots start dumping U.S. stocks while hoarding BTC, and Powell's "Tai Chi rhetoric" turns into a guide for retail investors to pick up bargains, will you choose to follow the smart money and position early, or wait until the whole network is buzzing about "the bull is back" before you realize?
If you feel confused and helpless in trading, and want to learn more about cryptocurrency and cutting-edge information, hurry up and click on my avatar to follow me, ensuring that you won't get lost in this bull market!
$SOL
