1. To fulfill his campaign promise to end the war in 24 hours, Trump had a two-hour late-night phone call with Putin, publicly announcing immediate ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, and making grand promises of joint prosperity after the war. But in reality, he wanted to shed the financial burden of U.S. aid to Ukraine and force Europe to pay more. He even proposed 'stopping the bombing of Ukrainian power plants within 30 days', but paused military aid to Ukraine, being criticized for 'selling out Ukraine for political achievements'. Meanwhile, Putin verbally supports peace but actually lays out a series of unreasonable demands: Ukraine must recognize the legitimacy of Russian-occupied territories, the West must lift sanctions, and military aid must stop, while Russian forces continue to heavily shell cities like Kyiv, aiming to seize more territory before negotiations.
2. Ukraine has tragically become a tool.
Zelensky was called by Trump twice in one night, only to find out that the U.S.-Russia negotiations didn't include him at all, and the ceasefire conditions were learned from the news. Once the U.S. cut off arms, the Ukrainian military immediately couldn't hold up - the American-made 'HIMARS' rocket artillery became useless, and the defense line was about to collapse. The desperate Ukrainian military even sent 46 drones to assassinate Putin's aircraft, but all were shot down by the Russian military. Economically, it was even worse, with GDP shrinking nearly 20% in three years, and they could only trade mineral extraction rights for U.S. aid, with their economic lifeline nearly crushed.
3. Talks while fighting, technology war escalates.
On the battlefield, drones have become the main character. The Ukrainian military has converted civilian drones into 17 types of killing tools, while the Russian military countered with electromagnetic interference and fiber optic drones, with both sides able to shoot down thousands in a day. The Russian military has also stated that they do not rule out using nuclear weapons, and NATO satellites have discovered that 95% of Russia's land-based nuclear missiles are on alert. This type of 'handshake at the negotiating table, fighting to the death on the battlefield' has made ceasefire a mere empty talk.
4. Europe is divided, China is caught in the crossfire.
Europe is in a heated argument, with the UK and France teaming up to send weapons to Ukraine, while Germany fears that if the U.S. withdraws, it will have to bear the brunt of the Russian military. Hungary has directly called out, 'Don't obstruct the peace talks.' China is being courted by both Russia and Ukraine, with Russia saying it will inform China of the negotiation details, while Ukraine seeks China's help to persuade Russia to ceasefire. China, through energy cooperation like the China-Russia gas pipeline, wants to cool down the situation, but the actual effect is limited.
5. The three major pitfalls in the future.
Trump wants to exchange Ukrainian territory for his diplomatic face, while Putin seizes the opportunity to gobble up the spoils and weaken NATO.
Germany has sent its first overseas troops since World War II to Lithuania, Europe has changed from 'laying flat' to 'hard fighting'.
Continuing to fight may trigger direct confrontation between NATO and Russia, and even affect the Middle East and East Asia.
This war is no longer just about territory; it has become a card table for great powers to redefine their spheres of influence. Ukraine is like meat on the chopping block, with the U.S. and Russia wielding knives, while Europe watches anxiously from the sidelines. Now it remains to be seen whether a ceasefire can be negotiated or if the fighting will continue indefinitely - but for every city lost on the battlefield, another piece of land has to be ceded at the negotiating table. This is the real-life version of 'weak nations have no diplomacy.'
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