I. The Essence of Trends

1. Trends are not technical indicators, but a collective explosion of market sentiment

- Moving averages and candlesticks are just post-event verification tools

- The true trend often contradicts common sense in its early formation

2. Trends have exclusivity

- Will not cater to everyone's understanding ability

- By the time you understand, the best opportunity has passed

II. Warning of Cognitive Pitfalls

1. Three common mistakes:

- Over-reliance on technical analysis (taking results as causes)

- Pursuing the 'perfect entry point' (missing the entire wave)

- Applying old experiences to new market conditions (carving a boat to seek a sword)

2. Lessons learned the hard way:

- Investors who held onto the ETH ecosystem last year

- Traders who missed the SOL ecosystem explosion

- Recent observers neglecting the RWA sector

III. Practical Response Strategies

1. Establish dual-track thinking:

- Left track: BTC and other core assets (value storage)

- Right track: meme and other hot assets (emotional speculation)

2. Grasp the switching rhythm:

- Large capital flows are viewed through on-chain data

- Market sentiment looks at social media popularity

- Technical breakthroughs look at developer dynamics

3. The Iron Law of Position Management:

- Core position (50%)

- Trend position (30%)

- Cash position (20%)

IV. Current Market Opportunities

1. Three major trends not to be ignored:

- RWA (Real World Assets on-chain)

- AI + blockchain combined applications

- Infrastructure construction for high-performance chains

2. Risks to be cautious of:

- Overhyped concept coins

- Illiquid small coins

- Projects with continuous sell-offs by the team

V. Ultimate Advice

1. Cultivate market intuition:

- Spend 1 hour daily tracking smart money movements

- Establish your own information screening system

2. Train execution ability:

- Set clear entry/exit criteria

- Develop a habit of regular review

Remember: In this market, the disparity in cognition always determines the disparity in returns. Don't expect to achieve excess returns with the thinking patterns of ordinary people; those who continuously make money are thinking about problems in dimensions you cannot see.

(Supplementary note: It is recommended that beginners start practicing trend judgment by observing the ecological development of 3-5 quality projects, and not to make heavy bets right away)

BTC

Current pressure 109170-109888, if rebound fails, it will test the low point of 106300 again, if it breaks down, continue to wait for 103780-102000!

ETH

Current pressure 2558-2573, if rebound fails, continue to wait for 2398-2348, if it stands above 2591, it will test 2670-2730 again!

SOL

Rebound 174-176 fails, continue to wait for lower levels of 167-165! Otherwise, wait for distribution opportunities at 180-183!

The information and data involved in the content come from publicly available materials, striving for accuracy and reliability, but do not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the information. The content does not constitute any investment advice, and investment based on it is at your own risk!