Bitcoin continued its strong momentum last week, despite the uncertainties brought about by macro policy changes, with the overall trend still maintaining an upward channel. Although there have been some short-term fluctuations and corrections, the weekly chart has not yet released any obvious top signals. From a daily perspective, the recent continuous decline has primarily been influenced by market concerns over tightening trade policies, while today's early session saw Bitcoin regain rebound momentum driven by a shift in Trump's policy stance, currently still operating above the key support trend line. The short cycle has already shown signs of momentum exhaustion, and it may enter a consolidation phase in the short term.
Ethereum has shown a strong trend recently, oscillating and consolidating near several medium- to long-term moving average resistance levels. From a technical perspective, there are signs of a bullish arrangement among the moving averages, supporting ETH's upward expectations. However, due to a certain divergence between the price and the moving averages, it may undergo technical adjustments through sideways movement or pullbacks in the short term to avoid overheating.
Altcoin sector: External macro variables remain one of the main risk points. Trump's recent dissatisfaction with the EU trade policy and threatening remarks have depressed overall market sentiment. Last Friday, market risk aversion heightened, with U.S. stocks and the crypto sector both retreating, while gold was boosted. Regarding altcoin holdings, we have implemented phased reductions and risk control, waiting for clearer buy signals. Additionally, FTX's compensation plan may trigger a new wave of selling pressure, which requires special attention. In terms of short-term strategy, we choose to patiently observe and wait for the market to release more clear signs of bottoming. The focus will also be on Ethereum ecosystem-related L2 expansion, modular direction, and potential layout opportunities for staking assets.
In 2025, may my brothers' wishes come true, positions multiply, and wealth flow in abundantly!
Yesterday is now in the past; let us embrace the present with the best state of mind, going with the flow, as the trend is quietly taking shape.
I will always stand by my brothers, never leaving or abandoning them!
I will continue to share the spot opportunities and insights I am optimistic about, hoping to accompany everyone in overcoming obstacles in the market and winning the future together!