The market is entering a 'calm' phase, but it is precisely during this calm that sharks devour prey. Below is a detailed technical analysis of OPUSDT on the 4H frame to determine price behavior and specific entry strategies.
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1. Overall trend $OP : Weak sideways – Slightly leaning towards Bearish
• Price is moving sideways within the Ichimoku cloud – indicating market indecision.
• The Tenkan-sen has crossed below the Kijun-sen, signaling that short-term selling pressure is dominant.
• Chikou Span is stuck among the crowd of candles, not confirming any clear trend.
→ Assessment: unclear trend, but the downward force is slightly dominant.
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2. Momentum: Clearly weakening signs
MACD:
• The MACD line crosses below the Signal line.
• The histogram is negative and expanding – indicating that a downward momentum has just formed and there are no signs of a reversal.
Stochastic RSI:
• %K has fallen below %D and is firmly below the 20 zone.
• This is not yet a buy signal, as there are no signs of crossing back up.
→ Assessment: Downward momentum still has room. Do not attempt to catch the bottom too early.
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3. Important technical levels
4. Suggested trading strategy (4H frame)
Preferred scenario: SELL on support break signal
• Entry: 0.745 (breaking the recent low and closing the candle below the Kumo cloud)
• Stop-loss: 0.775 (above the nearest resistance)
• Take-profit 1: 0.720
• Take-profit 2: 0.695
The R:R ratio for TP1 is about 1:1. The TP2 ratio is 2:1 – suitable for swing traders or holding positions for 1–2 days.
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Reverse scenario (if a strong reversal occurs): BUY on breakout
• Entry: 0.795 (when breaking the peak + clearly exiting the Kumo cloud)
• Stop-loss: 0.765
• Take-profit: 0.850
Note: This scenario requires strong breakout volume and confirmation from MACD & Stoch RSI for reversal.
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5. Brief conclusion
• Price is at the lower boundary of the sideways area – if it breaks the support at 0.745, the likelihood of dropping to 0.720 is very high.
• Prioritize SELL according to momentum trends and signals from Ichimoku + MACD + Stoch RSI.
• BUY should only be considered when there is a clear breakout from the 0.800 area with strong volume.