In the current trading session, BTC/USDT is trading around 108,803 USD, up +1.35% compared to the previous session. On the 4H timeframe, the technical structure shows a recovery phase after a shakeout, but the market is still in a sensitive area. Below is a detailed analysis and a specific trading strategy for traders following the Ichimoku combined with Volume Profile approach.
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🧱 1. Overall picture: Price clings to the Kumo cloud, testing an important support area
• Price remains above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating that the medium-term trend is still upward.
• After the pullback $BTC below 106,000 USD, the market has bounced back and is currently retesting the Kijun-sen line – which serves as a strong dynamic support area.
• The area around 108,000–108,300 USD is the new balance point, with a dense accumulation of volume (Volume Profile) → indicating that buying pressure is accumulating here.
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📊 2. Support and resistance areas to note
☁️ 3. Ichimoku: What do the technical signals suggest?
• Tenkan-sen crosses Kijun-sen from below, confirming a short-term upward trend.
• Price bounces from the upper edge of the Kumo cloud, indicating that buying pressure is still dominant.
• Chikou Span remains above the price, confirming that the upward momentum is still valid in the 4H timeframe.
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🔁 4. Volume Profile & Cash Flow
• The area with the highest trading volume: 108,500 – 109,000 USD.
• There was a prior “negative delta” signal (–220), indicating a previous panic sell-off, but the subsequent buying pressure was stronger and pushed the price back up → this is a noteworthy recovery signal.
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🧠 5. Specific trading scenario
✅ Scenario 1: Price holds above 108,000 → prioritize Long orders
• Entry: 108,300 – 108,600
• Stop-loss: below 107,500
• Target 1: 110,000
• Target 2: 111,500
• Extended target: 113,000 if breaking the old high
Note: Prioritize opening orders if there are confirmation signals such as engulfing candles, MACD histogram turning back up, or Stoch RSI crossing up from the oversold region.
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❌ Scenario 2: Price breaks the cloud – breakdown to the deep support area
• If the price breaks the cloud and closes below 107,500, it could trigger a short-term Short signal.
• Entry: 107,000 – 107,200
• Stop-loss: 108,000
• Target: 105,500 → 102,000
Higher risk due to going against the main trend. Strong breakout volume and confirmation from RSI decline are needed.
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📌 Conclusion
BTC/USDT is in the phase of testing buying strength. If it holds the 108,000 – 108,300 area, then the upward trend still has room and may test the old peak of 111,000+. Traders should monitor price reactions around this area and only enter trades when there is clear confirmation from price action combined with indicators.