Forecasts for the return of **Notcoin (NOT)** to its starting price (around **$0.01**) depend on many factors, including market trends, the development of the TON ecosystem, and community activity. Based on the analysis of current information, the following key points can be highlighted:
Current price situation**
- As of **May 22, 2025**, the price of NOT fluctuates in the range of **$0.0016–0.003**. This is significantly lower than the starting price ($0.01) and the historical maximum ($0.029 in June 2024).
- After listing in May 2024, the price fell by more than **85%** due to mass sell-offs and lack of clear utility for the token.
Forecasts and recovery scenarios**
1. **Conservative forecast for 2025**
Analysts such as WalletInvestor suggest that the average price of NOT could reach **$0.0065** by the end of 2025, which is still below the starting price. However, an optimistic scenario (e.g., from DigitalCoinPrice) allows for growth to **$0.0557**, if the TON ecosystem attracts more than 200 million users.
2. **Long-term prospects (up to 2030)**
If successful integration of GameFi and SocialFi occurs, as well as development of the platform as a "Netflix of crypto games", the price of NOT could rise to **$0.0894**. However, if the popularity of meme coins declines, the token risks remaining below **$0.01**.
Factors that may affect the price recovery**
1. **Expansion of the TON ecosystem**
Deep integration with Telegram (900 million users) and the launch of new projects like Hamster Kombat may increase demand for NOT. For example, the implementation of mining and staking pools has already attracted community attention.
2. **Market activity**
High volatility of NOT (trading volume to market cap ratio — 15.81%) indicates growth potential with increased liquidity. Listing on major exchanges like Binance could also be a catalyst.
3. **Technical indicators**
Key resistance level — **$0.003**. A breakout above this mark could open the way to **$0.005**, and then to **$0.01**. However, a drop below **$0.0015** will lead to further correction.
**Risks and limitations**
- **High volatility**: NOT remains a meme coin, making it vulnerable to market speculation.
- **Competition**: Success depends on the ability of the TON ecosystem to compete with other blockchain platforms.
- **Inflationary pressure**: Despite the absence of pre-mining, 78% of tokens are distributed among miners, which may stimulate sales.
**Conclusion**
The probability of NOT returning to **$0.01** in 2025 exists, but it requires meeting a number of conditions:
- Growth of the TON user base to 200 million+.
- Successful integration of new features (staking, pools, partnership projects).
- Improvement of market sentiment and liquidity.
Optimistic forecasts suggest a possible rise to **$0.01–0.02** by the end of 2025, but investors should take into account high risks and use diversification strategies.$NOT
