Bitcoin price forecast for the upcoming week (May 22–29, 2025)
Based on an analysis of data from various sources, including expert forecasts and technical indicators, the following key expectations can be highlighted:
1. **Short-term forecast by days**
- **May 23**: A rise to **112,605–112,981 USD** is expected, with possible fluctuations in the range of **104,723–120,487 USD**.
- **May 24–25**: The price may reach **113,924–114,277 USD**, but corrections to **105,949–110,324 USD** are possible.
- **May 26–28**: Further growth is forecasted to **116,652–118,414 USD**, with peaks up to **124,818 USD**.
- **May 29**: A weekly close at **115,939–117,598 USD** is expected.
2. **Technical and market factors**
- **Technical analysis**: A 'golden cross' (the intersection of the 50-day and 200-day moving averages) is forming on the BTC chart, which historically signals a bullish trend. The current technical rating is 'Buy actively'.
- **Support and resistance**:
- Key support: **$100,000–$103,000**.
- Resistance: **$105,000–$106,202**, overcoming which may accelerate growth to **$110,000–$125,000**.
- **Volatility**: The level of volatility is estimated at **2.41%**, which requires caution in short-term trades.
3. **Macroeconomic drivers**
- **US Fed actions**: Expectations of a key rate cut in September (probability **75.9%**) support demand for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
- **Trade agreements**: Easing of tariff policies between the US and China reduces market risks, positively affecting BTC.
- **Institutional demand**: The influx of investments into spot ETFs and limited supply after the April halving strengthen Bitcoin's fundamental positions.
4. **Expert assessments**
- **Optimistic scenario**: Bitget Research analysts predict growth to **$110,000–$125,000** this week if BTC holds above $105,000.
- **Conservative scenario**: Consolidation is possible in the range of **$101,000–$105,000** due to negative macro news, such as tightening trade rhetoric from the US.
- **Mid-term forecast**: By the end of 2025, the price could reach **$144,614–$180,000** due to institutional adoption and ETFs.
5. **Risks and recommendations**
- **Key risks**:
- Tightening of the Fed's monetary policy.
- Geopolitical tensions (e.g., escalation of trade wars).
- **Recommendations for traders**:
- Monitor inflation data in the US (May 22) and PMI indexes (May 23).
- Use stop-loss orders during corrections below **$100,000**.
Summary
Moderate growth of BTC is expected for the upcoming week with target levels of **$115,000–$118,000**. However, market volatility requires caution. For up-to-date data, follow updates on TradingView, Binance, or through analytical platforms like Traders Union. $BTC
