"Can't hold in a bull market, can't endure in a bear market. Pepe's performance today is once again a test of faith!"

1. Market Overview: Tug of War

Today's 4-hour K-line for Pepe has been quite tangled, latest quote is 0.0491541, with frequent spikes up and down, short-term support at 0.0491, resistance at 0.0499, a typical 'sandwich' market.

Key Signals:

High Platform Dive Warning: Dropped from 0.0499 to 0.0498 in the early morning; although the drop is small, the continuous decline of 4 consecutive K-line lows indicates that the bears are stealthily building positions.

Whale Movements: On-chain data shows that a certain whale just increased its position by 50 billion PEPE (about 4.36 million USD) yesterday, currently holding 20 trillion, worth 17.42 million USD. This guy is either a die-hard bull or preparing to stir things up.

Trading Volume Shrinks: Compared to the explosive volume of previous days, today's trading volume has significantly decreased, with a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market as everyone waits for BTC to lead the direction.

2. News Catalysts: Undercurrents in the MEME Sector

Bitcoin breaks 110,000, but altcoins lag behind
Today, BTC surged to a historic high of 110,000 USD, but Pepe did not rise along with it and instead consolidated, indicating that market funds still prefer Bitcoin, while altcoins, especially MEME coins, are under short-term pressure.

Solana ecosystem Meme coin traffic grabbing
Recently, Meme coins on Solana (such as BONK, WIF) have been attracting massive capital, with some funds flowing out of Pepe and shifting towards higher volatility small-cap coins. However, as a well-established Ethereum Meme, Pepe has a strong community foundation and may not necessarily lose out in the long run.

Regulatory Wind
The US SEC has recently intensified its scrutiny of exchanges, putting significant pressure on Binance and Coinbase. If regulations tighten further, Meme coins may be the first to be smashed.

3. Technical Analysis: Key Levels Determine Fate

Short-term Script:

Breakthrough 0.0499: If it breaks with volume, the next target is 0.0505 (previous high), or even challenge 0.052 (Fibonacci 1.618 expansion level).

Break below 0.0491: If it doesn't recover within 15 minutes, it may retest 0.048 (200-day moving average) or even 0.046 (April low).

Indicator Signals:

RSI Neutral (around 50), neither overbought nor oversold, indicating that bulls and bears are still battling.

MACD fast and slow lines are converging, and a trend change could happen at any time; keep an eye on the 4-hour golden cross/death cross.

4. Personal Opinion: Buy the Dip or Run?

Case Reference: Last month, after Pepe consolidated at 0.045 for a week, it violently surged by 48%. Will history repeat itself this time? The key depends on two points:

Can BTC hold steady: If BTC stabilizes at 110,000, funds may flow back into altcoins, and Pepe could have a chance.

Community FOMO sentiment: The number of Pepe holders has reached 218,000 (a historical high), indicating that believers are increasing, but short-term selling pressure is also significant.

My Strategy:

Short-term: If 0.0491 holds, a small position can be taken to bet on a rebound, with a stop loss at 0.0485.

Long-term: If it retests around 0.046, consider gradually accumulating, targeting 0.06 (predicted high for the year).

"Pepe's performance today is reminiscent of love—hot and cold, hard to grasp. Will you choose to hold on, or seek new affection? Let's discuss in the comments, and tonight's live stream will deeply analyze MEME coin ambush strategies!"


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