The next script is likely to be like this:
Many people are now worried whether the market will form a 'double top' pattern, like in 2021, where BTC formed a double top at 65,000 and 69,000, trapping a lot of people. I think this situation is indeed possible, but usually before a real 'double top' forms, the main force will first initiate a quick rise to 'wash out' those currently thinking of shorting.
Why? Because the market currently has too strong a bearish sentiment, especially near historical highs, combined with various divergence and death cross signals from technical analysis, many people simply do not dare to go long, only thinking about shorting or waiting. Just think about it, if everyone wants to short, would you dare to go long against the trend at this time? Most people wouldn’t.
So the main force is likely to use this sentiment to launch a strong rebound. I expect ETH to slowly rise to around 3000, but with relatively weak gains; while BTC is more likely to suddenly break through the previous high and shoot up to around 110,000, at which point the funds on the sidelines will not be able to resist chasing the high.
As soon as BTC breaks through the historical high, many short positions' stop-loss points will be pierced, short risks will soar, and forced liquidations will occur, making market sentiment instantly crazy as everyone starts to FOMO, and the emotions of chasing highs become stronger.
But if at this time the main force suddenly turns around and there’s a sharp drop, like BTC dropping from 110,000 back to 100,000, or ETH retreating from 3000 to 2500 or even lower, the entire market will go chaotic again, panic will rise, and many retail investors may be forced to stop-loss and exit during this wave of violent fluctuations.
The effect of this wave of washing is actually double: first, it washes out the retail investors chasing highs; second, it reduces the pressure of the upcoming rise. Because the vast majority of people can't withstand such fluctuations, after stopping losses and exiting, the main force can buy back chips at a lower price, preparing for the next real big market.
Since Bitcoin spot ETF was approved on January 10 last year, BlackRock has bought 636,000 Bitcoins over this year. If they maintain this pace, by the second half of next year, their holdings could exceed 1.1 million coins, directly surpassing Satoshi Nakamoto's wallet.
By that time, Bitcoin will basically be controlled by Wall Street, and BlackRock will become the largest player in Bitcoin.
The ETH trend has been very tumultuous these days, like riding a roller coaster, with 'false breakouts' or sudden spikes frequently occurring. The recent drop actually sent a very clear signal: this position is not suitable for high leverage; the risk is too great, and it's easy to get liquidated if not careful.
If you are doing short-term trading, you might consider setting the key stop-loss at around 2345. This position was previously the high point of a significant breakout and is also an area where the bullish and bearish sentiments are very evident. If it falls below 2345, it indicates that the bulls above do not want to continue holding positions, but instead choose to sell at high levels, likely causing the market to look for support downward.
As long as the price can stay above 2345, the short-term bullish pattern remains. The strategy can continue to focus on 'buying the dip' and following the trend.
I heard that someone got OTC chips from the project party at 0.2 for $ena. With some unlocks coming in June, the chart does indeed look weak, so I ran away. Not just $ena, others that look weak have also fled.
The IP of Peppa Pig's mother giving birth to a third child will definitely not be missed in the crypto world; the same name Evie Pig peaked at 1 million, and now only has 500k left. This market cap clearly shows that it hasn't been entered by whales yet, although many people are shouting, the price is dropping sharply, indicating that recently the whales also don’t want to play this anymore.
$sxt has been rumored to have a background wall until it announced a partnership with Microsoft. The reaction was lukewarm at first, but it's slowly rising now.
The official from Adventure Island finally said they would change the algorithm when $nxpc dropped below 2. We still don't know what the specific changes will be, but I hope the coin price will rise a bit with the change, after all, I don't play games, just trade coins.
Agentless hit a new high of 6.3m last night, but woke up to see it smashed to 2m. Yesterday, when someone reminded me to check the official website, it did indeed look pretty good; it has a trading assistant function that allows for DeFi trades while chatting, and another feature that automatically analyzes and copies trades. Strong operators + fundamentals, hope it can perform a bit better, after all, there are few projects coming out on BSC right now, which gives it a natural advantage.
I have re-purchased $LDO, and the current P/E ratio of LDO is very good.
With the price of ETH and staking rate still having a lot of room for growth, these two aspects combined suggest that LDO has multi-fold potential in the medium to long term.
I built positions at 0.95 and 0.88 respectively. If there's another pullback later, I will continue to add to my position.
Of course, everyone's situation is different; this is not investment advice, so make your own judgment.
Picked up some garbage! High risk, be cautious and don't follow blindly!
On the recommendation of a brother, I spent about 300,000 in market cap to buy some of the governor’s dog BABYDOG, no special reason, just purely based on the chart, the washout was very clean.
The only expectation is the BTC conference on the 27th, and it is said this dog might also participate.
BabydogJustice's last high point was a market cap of over 3 million, but it has now been washed down tenfold. Currently, there are no clear signs of rebound, and it may continue to wash. I have a strong gambling tendency, so I’ve just put in small amounts to test the waters.
This kind of garbage collecting style of building positions must be prepared for the possibility of going to zero — either the expectation comes true, suddenly pulling a wave of rebound, or it continues to wash sideways, or even the project directly cools down.
If you, like me, enjoy taking risks, then remember: small positions! Small positions!
Updating our lovely $FROGGER:
The community has sent 2% of tokens to Vitalik Buterin's address, making him the largest single holder at 19%. Looking forward to some interaction with the community!
The number of holding addresses has already surpassed 2000.
In these days, the market cap has been washed down from a high of 8.5 million dollars to over 3 million. Today it tried to pull back, and the market cap has risen back to around 5 million dollars, with the coin price also steadily warming up.
This is a meme + community CTO project based on ETH, suitable for long-term gradual development. I see that the community has always been quite active and diligent, and the atmosphere is also very good.
If nothing unexpected happens, $FROGGER is likely to replicate the script of $moodengeth — the market cap of $MOODENG reached as high as 200 million dollars.
With past experiences, I sincerely believe that $FROGGER also has a chance to bring surprises. Continue to observe~
STX has once again triggered an oversold signal on the daily chart.
Looking back at the past three times, whenever this signal appeared, the price would usually give a clear rebound, making it a relatively reliable 'bottom-fishing signal.'
However, even with good signals, the logic of trading and risk control cannot be ignored. After all, STX hasn’t yet established a clear bullish trend, and the pace of rise and fall still depends on Bitcoin’s movements.
PEPE hitting $1? Don't joke around, if someone really believes that, I'm embarrassed for you!
Let's be realistic: PEPE is indeed very popular, and this round of market performance is also good, but to say it will rise to $1? That's purely dreaming. Do you know how many there are in total? 420 trillion coins!
If it really rises to $1, then the total market cap would be $420 trillion — what does that even mean? It would far exceed the total value of the global stock market, gold, and Bitcoin combined, even the Earth might not be enough.
This is a typical example of being completely ignorant of basic common sense, a delusion. Don't talk about $1; even if it can multiply a few times or a dozen times, that would already be very impressive. But if you really believe it can reach $1, the outcome will only be getting harvested.
Remember this: understand the market cap, avoid delusions, and don’t be the last one to take the fall.
Today's achievements:
Following Bitcoin, the altcoins I’ve laid out are also starting to take shape!
The order that PNUT previously buried has taken off!
Currently, PNUT has already risen by four points, and contract returns have directly reached 80%. Those who have joined should set a stop-loss to protect their capital and continue holding for the target!
FARTCOIN continues to play music and dance!
FARTCOIN is approaching the first target, with a 10% increase; contract returns are nearing 300%, and I have already reminded the brothers to use half, the remaining part is the target!
This market requires both boldness and good timing!
KAITO, which entered yesterday, has also seen an increase of about ten points, with a 20x contract directly resulting in 200%+ returns!
There’s a friend who is even more ruthless, directly using 75x leverage, yielding over 1000%! Bull markets have large volatility; only by seizing the right timing can you steadily make a fortune!
Brothers, the code is here, let’s get started!
MOODENG current price 0.248 to go long, stop loss 0.232, target one 0.28, target two 0.32!
Small levels are testing the downward trend line pressure; let’s enter for a breakout. Once successfully broken, look forward to a new wave of upward movement!
Dogecoin here might be about to break out. I’ve done a bit of bottom buying, and once the breakout is confirmed, I will look for opportunities to increase my position. This time I plan to set my stop loss at 0.21!
Why has pancake's yield dropped so quickly?
Two weeks ago, I saw it was still ranked third, earning 4 million in a day.
But now, just two weeks later, the funds of cake have dropped to 1.7 million.
Is it because no one plays memes on BSC anymore, and everyone has gone to Wan Alpha?
Big things are coming! The wealth code is about to explode, these 5 fields can help you get rich.
1. Meme coins — don’t underestimate them; they can be the most profitable!
PEPE and FLOKI are stable big brothers, while Neiro and Turbo are bursting with energy as newcomers! Regardless of whether there’s technology or not, popularity can act as a printing press! Spot traders must allocate some; you will really regret missing out!
2. AI tokens — the future is now, and the big players are rushing in!
ARKM, PHB and other leading AI projects all have hardcore teams behind them! AI + blockchain = the next trillion-dollar opportunity. If you don’t rush in now, when will you?
3. RWA (Real World Assets) — a major upgrade in on-chain finance!
ONDO and POLYX are bringing real estate, bonds, and gold onto the chain, with explosive potential for application! Traditional capital is all entering the field; RWA is the next gold mine!
4. Re-staking track — earn returns while lying down!
PENDLE and BB are playing with asset compounding, simply the 'rental tool' on-chain! Staking interest + leverage doubles, and big players love this!
5. Public chains — the absolute engine of every bull market!
ETH, INJ and other foundational infrastructures are always where capital first flows in! Without the support of public chains, bull markets seem like a joke!
What has Binance Alpha changed?
When Binance Alpha first came out, I didn't pay much attention to it, treating it as just an on-chain tool for grabbing rewards — if you can grab, then grab, anyway I have many wallets and accounts.
But later I found out that it’s not just a playground for reward grabbers, but a whole closed-loop system built by Binance: looking at projects, interacting, grinding points, distributing profits, trading, and then feeding the traffic and money back to the platform.
With Alpha 2.0, it directly upgrades to an on-chain token issuance accelerator + trading entry.
The project side has become smarter — it used to take a long queue to list on Binance, going around in circles. Now, as long as you list on the BNB chain, have a sincere airdrop, ensure liquidity, create a points mechanism, and run some interactive data, if you’re lucky, both the main site and contracts will be opened for you.
Of course, this has also sparked controversy. Long-time loyal users have only earned 30 USD after years of effort, while some people casually earn over a hundred dollars from Alpha airdrops. Who wouldn't be upset?
But is Alpha a bad mechanism? I don't think so.
Essentially, Binance wants to reclaim the narrative — turning on-chain behavioral data into the threshold for issuing tokens, allowing projects to exchange 'user data' for 'listing qualifications.'
Sounds very Web2, but it really works in Web3.
To some extent, Binance has crammed L2, wallets, exchanges, voting systems, and new platform launches all into Alpha. Rough but practical.
Some people say Alpha has fostered a bunch of 'false activity' with trades that are all washed.
But looking at it from another angle — if you are the project party, wouldn't you want to have depth, data, and attention as soon as you launch?
What Alpha provides is not a 'real community,' but a 'launch model.'
Of course, this model has its thresholds: you need time, energy, a bunch of accounts, and to keep an eye on the rhythm.
But for retail investors like us, now that Web3 is closing everywhere, Alpha at least still has this door open — you can still grab rewards, compete, and it has popularity.
I don't think this is the end, but at least it is a starting point that hasn't been overly exploited.
To summarize:
If you are the project party, Alpha is your fast track to Binance;
If you are a reward grabber, Alpha is a high-intensity points hell;
If you are a retail investor... then just gamble for luck.
Being able to get an airdrop is luck, but more importantly, you know how to play it.
