BTC Analysis and Prediction

Bullish Factors

- Price is holding above MA(9) and MA(50), which often act as short-term support.

- RSI is neutral (50.87), so there’s room for movement in either direction.

- The recent strong green candle shows buyers are still present.

Bearish Factors

- The failure to hold above MA(21) and the quick rejection from the 106,853.27 high suggest resistance is strong in the 106,000–107,000 zone.

- MACD is slightly bearish and flattening, indicating waning bullish momentum.

- The last candle is red, showing sellers stepping in after the rally.

Prediction

- Short-term, the price is likely to consolidate between 105,000 and 105,500.

- If BTC/USDT holds above 105,100 (MA9) and especially 104,750 (MA50), another attempt to break above 105,450–106,000 is possible.

- If price drops below 105,100 and especially 104,750, expect a retest of the 104,200–104,000 support zone.

- Upside breakout: A strong green candle above 105,450 (MA21) could trigger a move toward 106,000–106,850.

- Downside risk: Failure to hold 105,100/104,750 would likely lead to further selling.

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