Today the market experienced a slight correction, and many people began to panic and sell their chips. But if you are still anxious at this moment, it indicates that you haven't understood the underlying logic of this wave of the market - all the fluctuations happening now are the last 'stress test' before the bull market starts. It's like the turbulence an airplane must experience before takeoff; the main force is using the most brutal way to filter out real holders.

=== Bitcoin: Weekly MACD Golden Cross = The Starting Gun for the Bull Market ===

Switch the K-line to the weekly level, and you will find that the fluctuation trajectory of Bitcoin in the last three months is quite similar to the recovery period after the '519' crash in 2021. At that time, the MACD also completed the switch from death cross to golden cross below the zero axis, and then started the main rising wave.

The market is like this: when the risks of Bitcoin arise, altcoins will respond first. The bull market and the altcoin season have not truly arrived yet. The real sign of arrival is when Bitcoin reaches new highs, and currently, Bitcoin's MACD weekly has already golden crossed. If it reaches a new high again, many altcoins will not fluctuate violently due to Bitcoin's movements.

Current situation: The position where the current MACD golden cross forms is exactly at the mirrored point of the bull-bear dividing line in 2021. This kind of technical resonance often indicates greater explosive power.

But don't rush to say 'new highs are coming soon'; the cunning part of the market is that when everyone is focused on the target of $110,000 to $120,000, the real market may start to wash out at $100,000. The uniqueness of this cycle lies in the deep involvement of institutional funds, which need to repeatedly shake out contracts to clean the leverage.

Let the bullets fly for a while. I tend to think Bitcoin will pull back before taking off. If it doesn't pull back from this position and goes straight up, then it is likely to pull back to the upper track of the Vegas tunnel on the four-hour chart after a new high.

=== Ethereum: The Silent Bull Market Engine ===

Recently, ETH has skyrocketed, but it is still a bit early to say 'Ethereum is back'. One must understand the severity of an 83% retracement from the historical high; ETH has gone through a complete cycle of bull and bear market compared to BTC. Such a deep adjustment actually builds enough momentum for subsequent explosive growth - like a spring compressed to its limit, the current rebound is just the first step in restoring valuation.

BTC is currently pressing at the 105,000 mark, waiting for ETH to catch up in exchange rate. When the exchange rate reaches 0.3, BTC will make a big move. The current ETH exchange rate is 0.025, priced at 2610, while BTC is priced at 103700.

The strength of ETH directly determines when the altcoin season will arrive. In the past three years, there has been a clear pattern in each altcoin explosion cycle: when the ETH/BTC exchange rate breaks 0.05, the altcoin market will fully activate. Currently, this value is still hovering around 0.025.

This is why I judge that June-July is the starting point for altcoin frenzy; holding ETH now is equivalent to holding the key to unlock the altcoin market.

=== The real script is just beginning! ===

Breaking through short-term support levels should actually be exciting.

When BTC suddenly breaks through short-term support levels, causing panic in the market, smart people are already calculating at which point to increase their positions. Sharp drops in a bull market are always money-making opportunities; the previous 30% violent rebound after that flash crash is the best proof.

Use profits to play high-risk games.

Speculate with realized profits and keep the principal in BTC and ETH. Before entering the market every day, lock the principal in the safe and use yesterday's profits to participate in today's market.

The current fluctuations are precisely the last tickets to enter the market for everyone. A bull market never ends amidst cheers, but rather climbs continuously amidst doubt and anxiety - what you need to do now is to hold tightly to your chips and wait for the market to give the final conclusion.

Create a high-quality circle.

Focus on spot trading.

#BTC挑战11万大关 #以太坊ETF批准预期 $BTC $ETH $BNB

I need fans, you need references. Guessing is not as good as following.@加密凌墨