#BTC #ETH #ThịTrườngTiềnĐiệnTử #xuhuong
Below is a detailed analysis of the cryptocurrency market over the past 24 hours and a forecast of trends in the next 48 hours, combined with macroeconomic factors and capital flows:
📊 Market situation (last 24 hours)
• Bitcoin (BTC): Trading around 106,211 USD, up 1,439 USD (1.37%) from the previous session. Daily trading range from 102,381 USD to 106,705 USD.
• Ethereum (ETH): Currently at 2,568.34 USD, up 160.63 USD (6.67%). Trading range from 2,367.74 USD to 2,575.91 USD.
📈 Capital flows and market sentiment
• Inflows: Ethereum recorded 204.9 million USD in capital inflows last week, the highest in months, indicating a recovery of confidence from institutional investors.
• Liquidity: Bitcoin had 48 billion USD traded in the past 24 hours, Ethereum reached 22 billion USD, reflecting strong investor participation.
• Market sentiment: The Fear & Greed index is currently at 70 (Greed), indicating an optimistic sentiment prevailing.
🧠 Technical analysis
• Bitcoin: RSI at 68, near overbought territory, but has not exceeded 70, indicating there is room for growth. Support level at 102,000 USD and resistance at 106,700 USD.
• Ethereum: RSI reaches 71, indicating strong upward momentum. Support level at 2,400 USD and resistance at 2,600 USD.
🌐 Macroeconomic factors affecting
• U.S. credit rating: Moody's has downgraded the U.S. credit rating, raising concerns for traditional financial markets and driving capital flows into riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.
• Bitcoin ETF: Capital inflows into Bitcoin ETF have surged, with forecasts suggesting BTC could reach 138,500 USD this year due to institutional capital flows.
📅 Important events in the next 48 hours
• May 20-21: Digital Assets Week conference in New York, focusing on asset tokenization and DeFi strategy.
• May 21: Web3 Familia event in New York, attracting the developer community and investors.
🔮 Short-term forecast
• Bull scenario: If BTC surpasses the resistance level of 106,700 USD, it may continue to rise to 110,000 USD. ETH, if it exceeds 2,600 USD, could reach 2,800 USD.
• Bear scenario: If BTC fails to maintain the support level of 102,000 USD, it may drop to 100,000 USD. ETH, if below 2,400 USD, may fall to 2,200 USD.
✅ Trading strategy
• Buy: When BTC exceeds 106,700 USD and ETH is above 2,600 USD.
• Sell: When BTC is below 102,000 USD and ETH is below 2,400 USD.
• Maintain: Monitor developments at upcoming events to adjust strategies accordingly.
