Translation: Blockchain in Plain Language
$250,000 Bitcoin - Sounds crazy, right?
But some staunch bulls have suggested this number, and they have charts to back it up. Here’s why this isn’t just a fantasy.
1. M2 Money Surge - Liquidity Tsunami
Global M2 money supply is surging and won't stop anytime soon. According to Real Vision analysis, the global liquidity tide will last until 2026. This means the four-year cycle may be broken. Don't expect a timely peak this October. If the funding continues to flow, BTC could reach $250,000 by next spring.
2. High-Yield Bonds - No Panic, No Problem
Bitcoin bull Tom Lee points out that the high-yield bond market - a barometer for financial crises - is not showing signs of panic. Government bonds are a bit volatile, but high-yield bonds are calm. This is not a signal of a crash. If the bond market isn't panicking, you don't have to panic either.
3. V-shaped Recovery Probability - History is on the Side of Bulls
Interestingly, out of 18 major declines since 1950, 17 have experienced a V-shaped rapid recovery, with a hit rate of 94%. If you think the market will crash directly, you are going against history.
4. Business Cycle Bottom - We are at the trough
Markets peak at the top of the business cycle, not at the bottom. We are still in the 'harsh, scary' phase of the cycle. This is good news for bulls. Once the cycle flips, the bull market will arrive.
5. Technical Models Point to Higher
Technical analysis also supports the rise:
Power Law Chart: $150,000 baseline by the end of 2025, reaching $250,000 by 2028.
Pi Cycle Top: Currently around $160,000, but can rise to $250,000 with sustained growth.
Golden Ratio Multiplier: Conservatively estimated at $160,000, can extend to $250,000.
Fibonacci Extension: If history repeats, targets are $215,000 to $250,000.
6. Institutions are Still Hoarding Coins
Don't forget the big players. Institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy are still buying Bitcoin in large quantities. There are even rumors that the U.S. government is considering including BTC in its strategic reserves. You wouldn't want to jump on the train when it’s already moving, would you?
7. Adjust Your Mindset - This is a Long Game
Yes, there will be 'violent, nauseating pullbacks' along the way. You'll feel like it's all over - and then the price will soar. Countless newcomers will be liquidated on the road to $250,000. Don't become one of them.
Summary - Hang in There
Bottom line? Ignore the noise, disregard the bears, and stay focused. If you are a long-term player, a $250,000 Bitcoin is not just possible - it's within reach.
