Recent price movements suggest that wave-b:3 may have bottomed in April, potentially setting the stage for a major wave-c rally. However, a key question remains:
Has wave-b fully completed, or is a more complex pattern unfolding?
What We Know So Far – April Low Insights
The size, speed, and structure of the bounce from April’s low imply that wave-b:3 could be complete.I
f this is the case, wave-c is now in progress, likely propelling Bitcoin toward new all-time highs later this year.
Two potential structures for wave-c:
Terminal (3:3:3:3:3) – A swift, explosive move to record highs.
Triangle – A slower, overlapping wave structure, suggesting a more drawn-out climb.
Why This Pattern Matters
If wave-b ended in April, we’re currently in wave-c:5, the final leg upward.
A Terminal structure suggests a strong, direct rally toward ATHs.
A Triangle formation implies a more gradual rise, potentially stretching into mid-2025.
Key Levels to Confirm the Outlook
A break to a new all-time high in May would strongly suggest wave-b ended in April.
A sustained move above $128,000 would confirm a Terminal wave-c:5.
Failure to exit the current price range could mean wave-b is still developing, likely evolving into a Neutral Triangle.
Final Thoughts – Trading the Scenarios
If Terminal: Be ready for a rapid breakout and aggressive upside — ATHs are likely in 2025.
If Triangle: Expect ongoing choppy price action and consolidation before a final breakout.
Bottom line: Both scenarios suggest substantial upside, but the timing and path will vary.