Date: May 17, 2025
Current price: 0.217 USDT
Core viewpoint: Short-term bears have released completely, structure brewing a reversal, waiting for the ignition fuse.
[1. Daily Level Technical Analysis]: Tug of war between bulls and bears nearing its end, bottom signal emerging
K-line structure:
Yesterday's K line closed with an entity medium bearish line, today small bullish stabilizes above the low point, low-level 'hammer' shape initially shows;
Moving Average System:
EMA7 pressed down to 0.222, EMA25 around 0.227, price running below short and medium-term moving averages, trend remains weak;
EMA100, EMA200 form a golden support band below, 0.215~0.210 is a technical defensive area;
BOLL Channel:
Middle track 0.228, upper track 0.238, lower track 0.218, price has approached the lower track edge, in an extremely oversold area;
MACD indicator:
Green bars continue, but downward momentum weakens, the bearish momentum release is nearing its end;
RSI:
RSI value close to 35, belongs to the oversold repair critical point.
Daily conclusion: Although still under pressure in the short term, the selling momentum has gradually weakened, and it is highly likely that a bottom will be formed today from a daily perspective, resulting in a stop-loss rebound pattern.
[2. Four Hour Technical Analysis]: After breaking, buying pressure starts to emerge, bottom divergence signal begins to show
K line structure:
Four consecutive large bearish lines have dropped, marking a low point of 0.213, short-term forming **'exploration bottom + pullback'** structure;
Moving Average System:
EMA7 dead cross EMA25, showing suppression state;
EMA100 and EMA200 constitute short-term strong support located around 0.210, bulls have not given up;
BOLL Channel:
Lower track touches around 0.213, price just returned to operate between the middle and lower tracks, stop-loss structure initially established;
MACD:
Fast and slow lines tend to converge, green bars shrink in volume;
It is expected that a low-level golden cross will form within the next 1-2 K lines, likely to trigger a rebound;
KDJ:
Golden cross formed, K value has turned back up from the oversold area.
Four-hour conclusion: Bears complete the final wave of 'panic wash', 0.213 has a very high probability of being a phase low point, rebound expectation looks to 0.225 or even 0.230.
[3. One Hour Technical Analysis]: V shape starting to form, early bull has already concealed
Structural pattern:
Typical 'V-shaped reversal' prototype, low point rises, right shoulder structure gradually forming;
Moving Average System:
EMA7 and EMA25 form a golden cross;
EMA50 will become a key defensive point in the short term;
Bollinger Bands:
Middle track moved up to 0.2185, short-term main upward space opened;
MACD:
Fast and slow lines form a golden cross and run upwards, red bars increase in volume, bulls dominate short-term rhythm;
KDJ:
Bullish arrangement, J value strongly surged to around 80, momentum remains sufficient.
One-hour conclusion: Short-term strong rebound has started, if it stabilizes above 0.220, it will trigger the second round of attack, target range 0.225~0.230.
[Practical operation advice]
Opening position: 0.216
First Zhi Ying: 0.220
Second Zhi Ying: 0.223
Zhi loss position: 0..213
