#ETH Contract Trading Three Core Strategies... Three Core Strategies: Winning Rate, Capital, and Arbitrage Optimization
1. Trend Resonance Trading Method
Bullish Judgment: Weekly MA60 Upward + Price Stably Above Daily Bollinger Band Midline for 3 Consecutive Days
Bearish Judgment: Monthly MACD Red Bar Shrinking + Breaking Fibonacci 61.8% Retracement Level
Accurate Entry for Long: 4-Hour MACD Bullish Divergence + Volume Doubles, Stop Loss 2% Below Previous Low
For Short: 1-Hour RSI Bearish Divergence + Breaking EMA9, Stop Loss 1.5 Times ATR Above Previous High
Dynamic Take Profit First Target 38.2% Fibonacci Level, Ultimate 161.8% Level, with Moving Stop Loss to Protect Profits
2. Oscillation Grid Strategy
Interval Division Using TD Sequence to Mark Oscillation Area, Divided into 5 Levels (3 Supports + 2 Resistances), Activated Only in Low Volatility (IV < 30%)
Build Position in Batches Support 1 Buy 10%, Stop Loss Outside 0.5% of the Range; Support 2 Add 20% Increase to Resistance 1 Reduce 50% Position, Breakout Signal (2 K Lines + 3 Times Average Volume) Transition to Trend Following
3. Cross-Market Arbitrage (Profiting from Price Differences)
Futures Spot Arbitrage Quarterly Contract Premium > 8%, Short the Contract + Buy Spot, Adjust Positions 6 Hours in Advance Using Capital Rate Model
Cross-Market Hedge Real-Time Monitoring of Price Differences of 5 Major Exchanges BTC, Standard Deviation > 0.3% Automatically Hedge, Choose Platforms with Single Fee < 0.05%
Extreme Market Response: 3-Step Loss Prevention + Counter Harvesting
1. Black Swan Rapid Response
0-5 Minutes: Close 50% of Reverse Positions, Set ±3% Stop Loss for the Remaining
1 Hour: Transfer 30% of Funds to Stablecoin, Buy Options Straddle to Prevent Crash
24 Hours: Monitor Exchange Inflows / Stablecoin Data, Determine Bottom-Fishing Timing
2. Pin Bar Market Counter Harvesting
Prevention: Avoid Full Warehouse Leverage 1 Hour Before and After CME Delivery
Counterattack: Place Orders at Historical Highs and Lows ±0.5%, Seize Liquidity Repair Opportunities
3. Dynamic Position Adjustment
Profit Addition: Increase Position Proportionally with More Profit (Formula: New Position = Base Position × (1 + √Return Rate)
Loss Protection: Continuous Loss Reduces Position (Each Time Loss Position × 0.7, Not Less than 5% of Total Position)
Strategies Initially Backtested with 3 Years of Data, Requiring Winning Rate > 65%, Profit-Loss Ratio > 2:1
If Daily Loss Exceeds 15%, Pause Trading, Resume After 24 Hours
(Note: Risk Warning: Contract Trading Leverage is High Risk, It is Recommended to First Use a Simulation Account to Validate Strategies, Position Not Exceeding 20% of Total Capital #稳定币日常支付 $BTC $ETH $BNB
