U.S. inflation has slowed down again! The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data shows annual inflation dropping from 2.4% to 2.3% in April 2025—the lowest figure since February 2021. This number is also lower than market expectations, opening new speculation about The Fed's monetary policy direction.

However, the market is still waiting for certainty. In last week's meeting, the Federal Reserve (The Fed) decided to keep interest rates at 4.25%–4.50%. This cautious stance reflects concerns about lingering inflation risks, as well as the potential rise in unemployment rates.

The impact? Speculation about interest rate cuts has also eased. According to the CME FedWatch monitoring tool, the probability of a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut in June is now only 15%, drastically down from 34% earlier this month.

In the midst of this situation, Bitcoin prices have not shown significant movement. BTC is still held at around US$103,000. The crypto market seems to be in a wait-and-see mode, awaiting strong signals from The Fed or further economic data.

Is this a sign of silent accumulation? Or a signal that the market needs a new catalyst?

Let's keep monitoring market movements and don't miss other important updates regarding macroeconomics & crypto!

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