Market Analysis and Operations for Bitcoin (2025.5.15)

Market Sentiment and Capital Movement

◦ Profit-taking Pressure: Whale addresses are transferring assets to exchanges around $105,000, with net inflows to exchanges rising to over 2,000 BTC daily.

◦ ETF Fund Divergence: The inflow of institutional ETFs, such as BlackRock, is slowing down, and speculative capital is decreasing, but the upcoming Ethereum spot ETF approval hearing (May 16) may trigger sentiment fluctuations.

As long as it does not drop below 99,500 in the last three days, it can continue to rise.

Short Position Strategy

• Entry: 104,500-105,000

• Targets: First target 103,000 Second target 100,800

• Stop Loss: Above 106,000

Long Position Strategy

• Entry: 100,500-100,800

• Targets: First target 102,000 Second target 104,000

• Stop Loss: Below 100,000

Risk Warnings and Precautions

· Position Management: Recent volatility has increased, it is recommended that a single trade position does not exceed 5% of total capital, and retain 30% cash for extreme market conditions.

· Stop Loss Discipline: Strictly set stop losses to avoid holding onto losing positions.

· Take Profit Strategy: Take profits in batches at resistance/support levels, reducing positions by 50%, leaving the remainder to bet on a breakout.

Risk Warning: This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile; please make rational decisions. $BTC #btc