$BTC

#btc交易 #山寨币交易 The Bitcoin trend is likely to show a "first consolidation, then surge" pattern:

- **First half of the year**: Fluctuation within the range of $90,000 - $120,000, influenced by the pace of policy implementation and macroeconomic data.

- **Second half of the year**: If the halving effect takes hold and institutional funds continue to flow in, it may break through $150,000 and challenge the high points of $200,000 - $250,000, with the peak possibly occurring in Q4.

- In the short term, pay attention to the support at $90,000 and resistance at $110,000, and be wary of the pullback risk after breaking key levels.

- Long-term holders need to monitor ETF fund flows, on-chain data (such as the proportion of long-term holders), and shifts in macro policies.

- Diversify allocations to cope with volatility and avoid high-leverage operations.