In terms of market conditions, my overall current operating logic is still to focus on participating in small positions, while heavy positions should continue to wait for more certain opportunities!
1. If Bitcoin still has a high point, 48500-57500 is the biggest pressure range. The most important turning point is 52088, which is the last high point of the rebound since the end of the 69000 bull market. If the rebound breaks through 52088, then a big bear can be determined. The market has completely ended, and 69,000 must be broken through, so in the future we must call back and look for long opportunities.
2. If the rebound cannot reach 52088, or even 0.618, which is 48500, then 15476 will only start a rebound, and there is still a slight chance of falling below 15476 (of course I think this possibility is not considered at the moment). At least there will be a decline after the rebound. Let’s see where it falls.
3. This wave of rise started from 24901. It is not yet certain that the rise has ended, so 45879 is not sure to be the high point. We assume that 45878 is the high point of this wave of rise starting from 24901, then 32914-37865 is the largest callback at present. Of course, the correction can be smaller, but basically the range of 32914-37865 has a high probability of a big rebound. Assuming that 45879 is the top of the 15476 rebound, the callback area is 27089-34265.
4. At present, the daily line is still in an upward trend. It cannot be said that 45879 is the top of the rebound starting from 24901, let alone the top starting from 15476. It still needs to be observed. If there is still a high point, then it must be reset. Calculate, but when the market reaches this point, it is indeed close to the end of this rising wave, and everyone needs to be more risk-aware. The higher it goes, the greater the pressure above 48,500, and the greater the probability of a major correction.
5. Finally, let me talk about my personal subjective judgment. I think there is a high probability that 45879 is not the top starting from 15476. There is a high probability that there will be a new high after the correction. As for the level of the correction, we need to follow the market. You can make subjective expectations, but you cannot make transactions based on subjective expectations. You need to find a structure that meets expectations and wait for the price behavior when the structure is formed.
MASK, which has been recommended to everyone recently, has also experienced a strong rise, with a sudden increase of more than 40 percentage points in a single day. For such a rise, we who ambush in advance cannot be too good, and we have gained in just a few days. For profit of more than 40 points, I personally ambushed 20,000 positions near 3.33, and then chose to take profits in batches between 4 and 5 knives, making an overall profit of more than 20,000 knives.
Originally, I was planning to make a small fuss a few years ago, but I didn’t expect to receive such a big wave of benefits. This is the fish tail market. If you bet correctly, the banker will give you the profit you want in a short period of time. After all, the banker is the same. To be shipped, and as a project with strong market control, it is only a matter of time to make up for the increase. It depends on who can endure it better. If you can endure it, you can drink the soup. In the process of pulling up, we need to bear in mind The most important thing is to take profits in a timely manner. Don't wait for the dealers to finish shipping. We are still waiting for a higher position. We talked about this a lot yesterday. Don't try to guess the bottom or touch the top. Our purpose is Profit, make money, if you can make profit and make money in a short period of time, that's even better, because the utilization rate of funds is higher. After we take profits, we can continue to ambush the next opportunity!
Mainstream currency analysis:
BNB: BNB's daily trend is mainly linked to the trend, and the overall market is weak. Looking at this trend, it seems that it is easy to test downward again.
XRP: Ripple is still in a weak market, the daily line is still in a downward trend, and the current trend is mainly linkage.
SOL: SOL is still in a downward trend. If there is a positive trend in the market in the near future, it may cause a small pullback, otherwise the correction will continue.
DOT: The overall trend of Polkadot is still correcting, but it seems to have bottomed out in the short term, and the overall trend is mainly linked to the market trend.
BSV: SV continues to pull back. This position should be almost there. There is not much room for testing. It is expected to fluctuate in the range for a period of time.
AR: AR is still in a correction, and the overall trend continues to be downward. Weak linkage.
UNI: The market of UNI has pulled back, but UNI has almost reached a bottom in the short term, and there will not be much room for downward exploration.
At the end of every market period, there will be no shortage of performances by some doomsday chariots, such as the previous FIL. After the supplementary increase, the market ushered in a wave of correction. As a veteran doomsday chariot, ETC still remembers the last round of big mad bulls. , did it suddenly reach more than 170 dollars in a short period of time? I have personally experienced this. This is definitely a force controlled by Gouzhuang. It can pull you up several times in just a few days. This is a strong dealer. And the ETHW next door has gone up this round, but ETC has not yet. How to perform? Both BSV and BCH of the BTC series performed well. I believe that it is only a matter of time before the ETC series of the ETH series performs. Therefore, if you don’t know which variety to lurk at the moment, especially if MASK is making a huge profit like me, you can put the profits All Stud ETC, and even the principal can be ambushed, holding the spot is not a big problem!
My personal expectation for ETC is that it will not be a big problem if it reaches 30 dollars. It is currently hovering around 20 dollars, which means that there is a great opportunity to seize 50 points. If there is no compensatory increase in the near future, but a decline, then we can cover the position in batches. Buy small when it is small, buy when it is big, I believe that when Ethereum Cancun upgrades and hypes this project, it will make up for the increase. After all, the current main ETH is not performing much, so ETC is still under development. However, as long as ETH rises again , then ETC will only rise faster. Of course, when it falls, the pins of this project are also exaggerated. Like OP, LDO, and MASK, they are all strong banker series. The difference is that the others have already risen, but ETC has not yet , when planning this type of project, we must try our best to spot stocks, do not use too high leverage, and control risks well, only then can we grasp profits and get what we want!
There is also DOGE, which I recommended to you two days ago. This project has not experienced a sudden surge like before in this round of market. People who have experienced the last round of bull market know that with Musk’s blessing, the price is 50 points every day. The initial increase will be 10 times from time to time. Therefore, the popularity does not need to be introduced too much. Many giant whales have hoarded this variety. MASK has taken advantage of Musk's popularity and has increased it. As a real Musk, it is recommended I think it is only a matter of time before DOGE performs. Therefore, they are actually relatively deterministic bids, and both ETC and DOGE are among the top 50 bidders in terms of market capitalization. They belong to the speculative category we have set and are relatively stable!
Finally, there are still many things that have not been written in, such as specific opportunities and specific decisions. These things often cannot be summarized in one article.
The new year has begun. Create a high-quality circle, mainly to explain various basic industry knowledge in the currency circle, the rotation of hot sections, and the basic methods of identifying tops and bottoms, how to better grasp this bull market, etc. Waiting for a series of knowledge, if you are interested, you can contact me.
