I rolled over from 500u to 50,000u, and my winning rate in April was as high as 94%
This method has no technical threshold. As long as you follow the steps, you can earn at least 3%-10% more profit every day in the later stage!
Method details: Trading in batches and in installments
1. Batch fund management
Suppose you have 10,000 yuan in funds, divide it into 5 parts, and only use 2,000 of them for each transaction. In this way, even if the market fluctuates, you can still retain funds to deal with emergencies.
2. Test the waters with a small investment
First, use 2,000 to test the waters and buy a currency to test the market trend and avoid the high risk of a full position at one time.
3. Add more positions when the price drops
If the price of the currency drops by 10%, use another 2,000 to increase the position, reduce the holding cost, and wait for a rebound to make a profit.
4. Take profit in time when the price goes up
If the price of the currency rises by 10%, sell part of it immediately to lock in profits and avoid pullbacks caused by greed.
5. Repeat the cycle
Follow this step and keep repeating the "buy-sell-add position" operation until the funds are used up or the currency is completely sold to maximize profits.
Advantages analysis:
• Low risk: Funds are invested in batches to control position risk.
• High flexibility: Adjust operations according to market changes at any time and move forward and backward freely.
We have heard too many legendary stories of "10,000 turning into 1 million":
The reality is that the vast majority of traders are ordinary people.
We don't have inside information, we don't have unlimited bullets,
Without experiencing several rounds of bull and bear markets, one is often swayed by emotions.
The market will not sympathize with anyone.
So, instead of dreaming about getting rich quickly, it is better to learn how to survive first.
So, how to survive in such a market?
The answer is simple: recognize your own position and follow reasonable trading logic. Use rules instead of impulse, use position management to fight uncertainty, and use long-term thinking instead of short-term gambling.
Below I have compiled my trading experience over the past twelve years and wrote it to the confused brothers.
The data doesn't lie: 90% of investors suffered heavy losses due to "catching falling knives" during the crash, while the survivors often only did one thing right - obeying the iron law. This article will use real cases and institutional-level strategies to reveal the core survival rules for traversing bull and bear markets.
1. Catching a flying knife will eventually cut your hand: the fatal temptation of bottom fishing
When the market plummets, human nature always drives us to look for "gold pits", but the truth is: the essence of bottom fishing in a downward trend is to fight against market inertia.
Data from the past five years shows that after Bitcoin falls by more than 10% in a single day, the probability of further decline within 30 days is 67%; 88% of investors who tried to bottom out and cut projects (decline > 50%) suffered a second cut.
Behavioral traps
Anchoring effect: When BTC drops from 70,000 to 50,000, the brain will set the previous high as the "value anchor point" and ignore the trend break signal;
Emotional sustenance: irrational beliefs in holding projects (such as heavy holdings in domestic public chains) lead to misjudgment of technical and financial realities.
Survival Strategy:
① Three no principles:
Don’t buy the dip if the decline is less than 30%
Do not intervene if the trading volume has not shrunk by 70%
No action if weekly MACD does not cross
② Institutional-level bottom-fishing model: The conditions must all be met: a decline of ≥ 60%, a 7-day net inflow rate of on-chain whales > 15%, and the stock of stablecoins on the exchange breaking through the annual high.
Blood and tears case: When LINK flash crashed to $3.8 in May 2024, a KOL called for "buying the dip with your eyes closed", and the price eventually fell to $1.2, and the average loss for followers was 91%
2. Strictly abide by the rules: the life and death line of traders
Trading rules are the "bulletproof vest" of funds. Violating the rules is equivalent to actively dismantling the lifeboat.
Neuroscience: Dopamine secretion will increase the urge to modify the rules by 240%, while the probability of subsequent profitable transactions for those who violate the stop-loss rules will drop by 58%.
Six-dimensional architecture
1. Single loss ≤ 2% of total principal;
2. Exit the market when the daily trend is broken;
3. When volatility is greater than 80%, leverage of more than 5 times is prohibited;
4. Short orders are prohibited when the panic index is less than 20;
5. Automatically reduce holdings by 50% when profit reaches 2 times of ATR;
6. If you suffer three consecutive losses, you will be forced to rest for 72 hours.
Counter-example warning: A miner originally planned to stop loss when BTC fell below the MA120 moving average (72,000), but after the actual breakout, he changed his plan to "resist another 5%", and finally sold his losses at 63,000, resulting in an additional loss of $137,000
3. Never Go All In: Say “No” to Black Swans
The essence of full-position operation is to sign a "sale contract" to the black swan of the market.
Probability Proof
Even if the strategy with 70% accuracy is fully operated, the probability of liquidation after three consecutive failures is greater than 65%;
The average annual loss rate for full-warehouse users is -47%, while that for split-warehouse users is +12%.
Position Control
Kelly formula optimization: when the winning rate is 60% and the profit-loss ratio is 2:1, the position limit is 40%;
Three-stage position building method: first position 20% (trend confirmation) → second position 15% (breakthrough resistance) → final position 10% (trend acceleration)
Gold Model:
Perpetual contract single position ≤ 5% of the principal;
The maximum position of a spot order is ≤15%;
Cross-sector dispersion (public chain 40% + storage 25% + Depin 35%)
Bitter lesson: In 2023, a user bet all his money on a certain exchange platform currency, but encountered a regulatory crackdown and his savings went to zero in a single day, evaporating his ten-year savings in an instant
The synergistic power of the three laws
Refuse to catch the flying knife → Avoid irrational selling;
Strictly abide by the rules → Build a decision-making firewall;
Warehouse management → Casting survival armor.
Data confirms that traders who adhere to these three rules will only have a maximum drawdown of 8.7% in the 2023-2024 bear market, and their annualized returns will outperform BTC by 156%.
Conclusion
In the cryptocurrency world, profits can be multiplied, but the loss of principal is irreversible. The real winner is not the prediction master, but the believer in the rules. Remember: the bull market is a carnival of profits, and the bear market is a battlefield for principal.
Original statement: The data in this article are all from publicly available information and do not constitute investment advice. The market is risky and decisions should be made with caution.
The bull market will pass quickly, please cherish your time. If you don’t understand some new technologies in the cryptocurrency circle, don’t know what coin to choose, and want more information channels or inside information [Official Account: Crypto Talk God], enter the largest community in the cryptocurrency circle and share passwords every day!
