Simplicity is Key: 5 Golden Rules of the Crypto World to Help You Achieve Steady Profits
Rule One: Accumulation Market Identification Method
When a "rapid rise and slow fall" pattern appears
Typical Characteristics: Daily increase exceeds 8%, with a pullback of only 2-3%/day
Data Validation: Continuous increase in net outflow from exchanges
Operational Strategy: Gradually build positions when pulling back to the EMA20 moving average
Case Study: In October 2023, SOL rapidly rose from 20 to 25, then only pulled back to 23.5 over the next 5 days, followed by a major upward wave
Rule Two: Distribution Market Warning Signal
The dangerous signal of "rapid fall and slow rise"
Daily decline exceeds 5%, rebound strength <2%
Significant increase in large transfers to exchange addresses
Continuous decrease in futures open interest
Response Plan: Immediately reduce positions by 30% when rebounding to MA5
Rule Three: Insights on Volume at the Top
Top Trading Dual Rules:
1. High Volume Top (Volume and Price Rising Together)
Wait for a second peak opportunity
Stop loss at 5% below the previous high
2. Low Volume Top (Volume and Price Divergence)
Immediately close 50% of positions
Clear out on MACD death cross
Rule Four: Secrets of Volume at the Bottom
Key Points for Building Positions at the Bottom:
Beware of single-day high volume: it may be a "fishing line"
Confirm sustained high volume: 3-day volume exceeds 20-day average volume
Best Buy Point: High volume breakout of the downtrend line + RSI bottom divergence
Rule Five: The Game of Emotion and Consensus
Emotional Cycle Stages:
1. Despair Phase: Trading volume shrinks to a yearly low
2. Hope Phase: Continuous small bullish candlesticks with increasing volume
3. Frenzy Phase: Daily turnover rate exceeds 30%
4. Panic Phase: Waterfall decline accompanied by massive volumes
Practical Toolbox
1. Volume-Price Relationship Reference Table:
Price Action Volume Market Implication
Rapid Rise Expansion Main force lifting
Slow Decline Contraction Washing and accumulating
2. Emotional Indicator Combination:
Fear and Greed Index
Social Media Sentiment Index
Long/Short Position Ratio
In this market, the simplest rules are often the most effective. My success does not rely on complex technical indicators, but on consistently executing these 5 simple rules.
Current Application: BTC recently exhibits the "rapid rise and slow fall" characteristic, with continuous decrease in exchange inventory, consistent with Rule One's accumulation features. Suggest paying attention to the breakthrough of key resistance levels! SOL BTC #Strategy增持比特币 #策略交易