【Calm Before the Storm: Global Capital Showdown Timeline】 (5.13-5.17)
Core Focus——Liquidity Nuclear Countdown:
May 14, 20:00 US April CPI
(Forecast 3.4% vs Previous 3.5%)
Historical Pattern: CPI exceeding expectations by 0.1% leads to BTC volatility +15%
May 16, 20:00 Powell's Ultimate Judgment
(Combined PPI + Retail Data Triple Hit)
March 2023 speech triggered a single-day flash crash of 3000 points
Smart Money Covert Operations:
CME BTC options open interest surpasses $12 billion
Whale addresses have transferred 93,000 BTC in the past three days
USDT OTC premium rate exceeds 7.2% (signal for capital inflow)
Trader Survival Guide:
① Clear high leverage positions 2 hours before CPI release
② Monitor unusual movements in Nasdaq 100 futures (leading indicator)
③ If data double whammy (CPI + PPI exceed expectations), immediately activate hedging strategy
④ During Powell's speech, closely watch the 2.5% death line of 10-year US Treasury yield
Black Memory Warning: On the night of CPI in August 2022, ETH had a 23% amplitude in one hour. Current option implied volatility has reached an annual peak, and the market is pricing in "epic volatility".
Undercurrent Tracking: Wall Street hedge fund Delta neutral strategy positions have reached historical extremes, any directional breakthrough will trigger a tsunami of programmatic trading. Remember, when everyone is waiting for the shoe to drop, the real market often starts in advance.
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