Market View - Overall, a decent set-up!
We got news yesterday about progress in the China–US talks. If this continues, it could provide a strong macro tailwind for risk assets—but for now, there’s not enough detail to build a high-conviction view.
Futures reacted well, up nearly 1%. That’s encouraging and could lead to more spot bidding once markets open.
Bitcoin open interest has ticked higher—not ideal, but still far from danger zones. Given the time of day/week, it makes sense that futures are currently driving price action.
Overall, the setup looks constructive. There’s a decent chance we see more green throughout the week.
Summary
Reasons to stay constructively bullish:
- China–US narrative improving → macro tailwind.
- Futures +1% pre-market → potential for spot follow-through.
- Bitcoin OI rising but still healthy → some positioning, not euphoria.
- Funding neutral → no signs of overcrowded longs.
Key Macro Events to Watch:
Tuesday: US CPI
Thursday: US PPI & Retail Sales