#本周高光时刻 BTC Top Warning: Countdown for Bulls to Harvest, Three Key Signals Indicate a Trend Change

1. Market Situation: Bears Litter the Field, Bulls Face Counterattack

Clearing Map Reset: Current price has broken through the key resistance of 95,000, the last defense line of the bears has been breached, and the market enters a bull-killing phase

Extreme Emotion Warning: Social media is flooded with calls for "breaking 120,000", historical patterns show that periods of frenzy often correspond to peak areas

Chip Structure Deterioration: Miner selling pressure surges, net inflow to exchanges reaches a three-month peak, and the signal for main force unloading is clear

2. Technical Death Triangle: 106,500 as the Ultimate Shackle

Key Signals at the Daily Level:

Triangle Shape: The oscillation range of 79,000-106,500 is narrowing, a breakout requires support of $12 billion/day in volume

Volume-Price Divergence: The average trading volume of recent upward candlesticks decreased by 37%, and the MACD histogram continues to shrink

Fibonacci Trap: 106,500 corresponds to the 0.618 extension level, historically this position has triggered a single-day drop of 15%

3. Bulls' Retreat Guide - Three Exit Signals:

False Break Confirmation: If the closing price fails to hold after breaking 106,500 within 3 hours, stop loss immediately

Gap Filling Law: The current rise has created 5 gaps, with the historical maximum fill rate reaching 83%

Volatility Surge: VIX index breaking 45 will trigger programmatic long position liquidation

Position Management Iron Rule:

If long positions exceed 50%, immediately reduce to 30% set dynamic profit-taking: 103,200 (120-day moving average) → 100,000 (psychological level) → 96,500 (Fibonacci 38.2%)

4. Bears' Counterattack Roadmap

Potential Rebound Targets:

First Resistance: 98,500 (4-hour Bollinger Band upper limit) Second Resistance: 101,200 (previous high dense trading area) Ultimate Resistance: 106,500 (Bulls' Graveyard)

Bottom Fishing Death Three Principles:

Do not consider left-side building if it does not break 92,000, follow up on the right side if it breaks 106,500 and then retraces without breaking, never go against the trend in the contract market