ETH Death Cross Warning: $2578 May Be the Highest Point of the Year
A Deadly Trio is Forming
ETH Current Price $2578, 24-hour Surge of 10.8%, but Concealing Three Major Dangers
Bollinger Bands Mouth Opening (Upper Band 2598 VS Middle Band 2380)
Daily RSI 87.55 (Highest Overbought Value Since April 2023)
TD Sequence 13 (Textbook-Level Reversal Signal)
Underlying Currents in the Chain
Miner Sell-Off Countdown: 91% of Addresses with >50% Profit, Staking Outflow Volume Surged 300%
Whales' Collective Retreat: Addresses Holding >10,000 ETH Decreased by 17 in 24 Hours
Contract Long-Short Ratio 0.47 (Short Position Volume Surged 210% in 6 Hours)
Institutional-Level Trading Strategy
Short Selling Range: 2580-2600 (Precise Targeting of Psychological Threshold)
Dynamic Stop Loss: Above 2620 (Breakthrough Immediately Triggers 'Short Squeeze Protection' Script)
Batch Position Building Method:
First Position 5% @2590 (Trial Order)
Increase Position 10% @Breakout 2500 (Trend Confirmation)
Ultimate Position 15% @Fall Below 2400 (Main Downtrend)
Hidden Risk Alerts
Beware of 'Pinning Moments' Between 03:00-05:00 UTC (Historical High Liquidation Periods)
Funding Rate Still at +0.012% (May Trigger Short Squeeze)
SEC Suddenly Approves ETH ETF (Very Low Probability Black Swan)
Data Speaks
Similar Overbought Patterns Occurred 17 Times in the Last Three Years, 14 Times with a Pullback of >15%
Current Price Deviation from 200-Day Moving Average 32.7% (Exceeding 2021 Bull Market Peak Deviation)
Perpetual Contract Funding Rate Reaches Annual Peak (Reversal Probability 87%)
Survival Guide
Must Use On-Chain Conditional Orders (Prevent Exchange Pinning)
Lock in 20% Profit for Every $100 Drop
Trigger 'Panic Sell Monitor' Immediately if Falls Below 2310
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