May 11, 2025 ETH Today's Trend Analysis
Today's ETH trend looks just like a husky on steroids, but we must look through the candlesticks to see the essence—"the crazier the price, the tighter we must hold the stop-loss line".
1. Market Game: The big players are playing "high-altitude tightrope walking"
The price is bouncing between $2550 and $2599, with the BOLL bands opening wider and wider. The upper band at $2600 is like a high-voltage power grid, while the lower band at $2270 is the true floor. The key is to watch the volume—when it broke $2550 in the early morning, a whale bought 32,000 ETH in one go, which is comparable to a Bitcoin miner that hasn’t eaten for three days.
The MACD red bars are still expanding, with DIF riding on DEA like bumper cars, seemingly under bullish control. However, the RSI has surged to 82, crazier than the 2017 ICO, which is like inflating a balloon to its critical point—either it goes to the sky or it bursts in your face. What's scarier is the options market, where $21.35 billion in chips is piled up, equivalent to betting Cambodia's entire annual GDP on the table.
2. Information Undercover Battle: The "Quantum Entanglement" of ETF and Interest Rate Cuts
BlackRock quietly revised its ETF application, opening the gate for institutional participation. Referring to last year's big pie ETF approval which saw a 30% increase, ETH should at least have an $180 premium. But in the early morning, the Federal Reserve stated, "interest rate cuts depend on inflation's behavior," which feels like giving you a candy and snatching away your ice cream.
Even worse is Trump; this guy just praised crypto assets, then turned around and called the SEC a "digital tyrant". His words are more unpredictable than Binance's needles, easily crashing the market's sentiment.
3. Practical Strategy: The "Three-Word Mantra" to Dance with the Big Players
Hodlers: Hold firm to the 5-day line at $2380; this position was steady as a rock last night with three pinning attempts. Following Zhang Lihui's team's operation, reducing positions at $2350 and holding the base is the way to go.
Bottom Fishers: Current prices are like a hot potato, with clear divergence in hourly volume and price. If you’re itching to trade like a crypto veteran—build positions in three batches between $2350 and $2280, set a stop-loss at $2250, and run after making a small profit.
Contract Gamblers: Keep a close eye on two lifelines:
- Breakthrough $2600 on volume and chase the uptrend with eyes closed, first target $2800
- If it drops below $2500, cut losses immediately; $2270 is the liquidation minefield
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Today's focus: ETH BTC LAYER PNUT