$XRP
### News and Major Events
1. Agreement with SEC:
- On May 8, 2025, Ripple and the SEC filed a joint agreement, requesting Judge Analisa Torres to lift the injunction and reduce the fine from 125 million USD to 50 million USD, pending approval. This marks a significant advancement in the lawsuit that has been ongoing since 2020, potentially paving the way for an XRP spot ETF.
- XRP surged to 2.3301 USD (a 10-day high) following this news, reflecting optimistic sentiment.
2. Macroeconomic Policy and Market:
- The US-UK trade agreement (with a reduced tariff rate of 10%) and Bitcoin surpassing 100,000 USD have created upward momentum for XRP, with a "risk-on" sentiment driving the entire cryptocurrency market.
- Short-term Forecast:
- Positive: If it surpasses 2.50 USD with high volume, XRP could reach 3.00 USD within a few days, thanks to the SEC news and market sentiment.
- Risks: Decreased network activity and profit-taking pressure (after a 600% rally in Q4 2024) could push the price back to 1.20 USD if the 2.00 USD support fails.
### Insights and Recommendations
- Positive:
- The SEC agreement and cryptocurrency-friendly policies under the Trump administration (Ripple supported 5 million USD in XRP for Trump) strengthen growth prospects.
- Risks:
- Low network activity and focus on the stablecoin RLUSD could overshadow XRP.
- Macroeconomic volatility (Fed interest rates, global trade) and ETF delays could limit upward momentum.
- Recommendation:
- Monitor resistance at 2.50 USD and support at 2.20 USD. Accumulate at the correction level (~2.00 USD) if looking to invest for the long term.
Note: The cryptocurrency market is high risk. Do thorough research before investing.