1. Market core: Linked market meets resistance, 145 becomes the lifeline for long and short positions.

SOL follows Bitcoin and Ethereum rising and then falling, touching the second pressure level of 151.3 before being under pressure, the current trend enters a 2-4 hour trend decision period. The support level of 145 is the watershed for long and short positions:

- If stable, the bullish trend continues, relying on market linkage to challenge higher targets;

- If broken, the pullback opens, be cautious of the risk of linked market declines.

2. Long and short trend analysis and key points

1. Bullish trend continuation signal (bullish)

- Confirmation conditions: A pullback that does not break 145, and the market (Bitcoin) stabilizing above 96160, SOL rebounding and breaking through the short-term pressure level of 149.

- Logic: 145 is the low point of the upward wave's pullback + 60 moving average support, a dual technical resonance; if maintained, it indicates that the main funds have not withdrawn, and the linkage rise logic remains unchanged.

- Upward target:

- First target: 151.3 (today's high resistance, breaking through depends on volume);

- Second target: 154 (mid-term trend resistance, breaking through hopes for 160).

2. Short-term pullback risk signal (bearish)

- Confirmation conditions: Breaking below 145 (confirmation of 4-hour closing), and Bitcoin breaking below 96155, SOL rebounding is blocked at 145.

- Logic: After breaking, the short-term trend turns bearish, combined with market linkage effect, the market may shift from 'following rise' to 'panic selling'.

- Downward target:

- First support: 142.2 (lower edge of the consolidation range, double bottom neckline);

- Second support: 140.2 (Fibonacci 38.2% support);

- Third support: 138 (previous low point, if broken watch 135).

3. Operational strategy and risk control key points

Bullish strategy (linked rise):

- Entry: SOL stabilizes at 145, Bitcoin stabilizes at 96160, and enters long positions when SOL breaks 149;

- Target: 151.3-154;

- Risk control: Stop loss at 144 (confirmation after breaking 145), position ≤ 5%, if the market weakens, profit should be taken simultaneously.

Bearish strategy (linked stop loss):

- Entry: SOL breaks below 145, Bitcoin breaks below 96155, if rebounds do not exceed 145 then lightly short;

- Target: 142.2-138;

- Risk control: Stop loss at 146 (break above 145 and the rebound pressure), position ≤ 3%, need to exit if the market stabilizes.

Key risk control tips:

1. Linked priority principle: SOL's trend highly depends on Bitcoin; if Bitcoin fluctuates repeatedly near 96160, trading frequency needs to be reduced to avoid premature entry;

2. Volume verification: To break 151.3, the daily trading volume needs to be more than 20% larger than the previous day; otherwise, it may be a false breakout; if breaking below 145 with reduced volume, it may be a trap (needs to be judged in conjunction with Bitcoin's trend);

3. Impact from news: Pay attention to the recent capital flow in mainstream currencies (such as the fund diversion after ETH upgrade), and avoid misjudgment based solely on technical analysis.

4. Summary: Focus on market linkage, with 145 as the risk control anchor point.

The core logic of SOL's short-term trend is **'Strong market follows rise, weak market compensates decline'**, the 145 level and Bitcoin 96160 form a 'linked risk control combination':

- Double support stabilization: Can be seen as strength in mainstream currency sector, SOL is expected to continue its upward trend;

- Double breakouts occur: Must decisively stop loss to avoid the risk of linked crashes.

Operational advice: Patiently wait for a clear trend signal (such as SOL's bullish candlestick breaking 149 or bearish candlestick breaking down 142.2) and avoid frequent trading near the watershed. Always take the 'market trend as a guiding marker, and technical break as an exit signal', controlling position to cope with a highly volatile market.$SOL #SOL走势