Breakout Background: SOL has broken below the recent consolidation range bottom (with 144.8 as the boundary), establishing a short-term bearish dominance pattern. The core contradiction in the night trend is whether the rebound can effectively recover the breakout point, which will determine if the market continues to decline or starts to correct.

1. Bull-Bear Tug of War Focus: 144.8

- Technical Significance: This position is both the lower edge of the consolidation range and a 'touchstone' for trend strength at the hourly level. If the 1-hour close continues to be pressured below 144.8, it indicates strong bearish pressure, and the downward trend is likely to continue; if it breaks out with volume, it may form a 'breakout retest confirmation' with a short-term stop-loss signal appearing.

- Market Psychology: This area gathers a large number of stop-loss orders and bottom-fishing funds, so be cautious of violent fluctuations caused by the tug-of-war between bulls and bears (such as spikes or rapid rises/drops).

2. Downward Space Calculation

- First Stage Target: 142.1

Corresponding to recent lows and the 5-day moving average support; if the rebound fails, bears may directly probe this area, and if it breaks, market sentiment will turn pessimistic.

- Depth Correction Area: 140.2-138

140.2 is a round number + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement, 138 is the lower edge of the range since April; if it continues to break down, it may trigger panic selling.

3. Rebound Resistance Steps

- Initial Resistance: 147

Mid-position in the consolidation range, also the resistance point of the 20-day moving average; rebounds to this point may face short-term selling pressure.

- Trend Reversal Signal: 149-151.3

149 is the upper edge of the consolidation range; once broken, it can be seen as bulls regaining control; 151.3 USD is near the previous high; if it holds, it may open up upward space.

2. Scene Operation Planning

Scene 1: Weak Rebound (1-hour Close < 144.8)

- Signal Characteristics: Candlestick shows a small bullish candle followed by a pullback, with shrinking volume, or forms an engulfing pattern.

- Trading Strategy:

- Short Position Entry: Gradually build positions in the 144-144.5 range during the rebound, targets at 142.1 (first take profit), 140.2 (second take profit), with a stop loss set at 145.5 (above the breakout point + buffer zone).

- Risk Control: Position not exceeding 10% of total capital; if the price unexpectedly holds above 144.8, decisively stop loss and exit.

Scene 2: Effective Breakthrough (1-hour Close > 144.8)

- Signal Characteristics: A bullish candlestick breaking through 144.8 with volume, and subsequent candlesticks holding above (e.g., two consecutive hourly closes above this level).

- Trading Strategy:

- Long Position Follow-up: Enter directly upon breakthrough, targeting 147 (first resistance), 149 (trend reversal point), with a stop loss set at 144 (below the breakout point + cost protection).

- Dynamic Take Profit: If it breaks through 147, move the stop loss up to 145.5 to lock in some profits; if it encounters resistance at 149 and falls back, consider reducing positions and waiting for a second breakout opportunity.

3. Risk Warning and Practical Points

1. Liquidity Risk: The period from 22:00 to 2:00 is a quiet trading period, prone to 'large single orders sweeping the market'; it is recommended to use conditional orders instead of market orders to avoid slippage (e.g., order prices deviating from the real-time price by 1%-2%).

2. Sector Correlation: Closely monitor ETH and BTC trends; if mainstream coins collectively weaken, the probability of SOL breaking down increases; conversely, if ETH rebounds beyond expectations, SOL may recover synchronously.

3. Emotion Management: Avoid blindly bottom-fishing during the initial breakout; wait for clear signs of a stop-loss (such as volume at the bottom, MACD golden cross). If there are consecutive losses, pause trading to avoid emotional chasing.

4. Trend Summary and Operation Mnemonic

Core Conclusion: SOL is currently in a 'bearish dominance, rebound pending' pattern, with 144.8 being the critical point for bullish and bearish trends—if it holds, it may reverse the downward trend; if it breaks down, the downward rhythm will continue.

Mnemonic for Quick Recall:

- Bearish Pressure: If the rebound does not exceed 144.8, bears will aim for 142; if it breaks down further, look at 140, with the 1380 threshold as the limit.

- Bullish Counterattack: Hold above 144.8, first look at the 147 resistance; break through 149, targeting 151 and then look higher.$SOL #SOL走势