美联储不是鲍威尔一个人说了算，主要看点阵图，反映美联储全体成员对放水的态度，去年12月点阵图一出来把今年降息力度的预期大幅度压低，大饼立即开始筑顶（就像男人快射之前赶紧草草冲刺而不是长时间有节奏的拉升），点阵图决定了流动性预期的变化，这就是决定做空趋势还是做多趋势的关键因素

#美联储FOMC会议
[One] The crypto market is not actually waiting for the FOMC results, but for 'directional confirmation'.
The Federal Reserve is about to meet again, and the FOMC has become the focus of the entire market.
The crypto market seems very tense, but in reality, the heart has long been numb.
Why?
Because in today's crypto market, it’s not about betting on whether rates will rise or not, but about betting on one question:
When will the Federal Reserve back down and start cutting rates?
Once this direction is clear, the market can take off. It's not a short-term riot, but a medium-term trend reversal.
And before that? It’s all a state of playing dead.
⸻
[Two] The end of the rate hike cycle, the crypto market is waiting for spring in the 'frozen zone'