The Backlash of the Trump Effect: Right-Wing Parties in Canada and Australia Both Suffer Defeats
Recently, Trump denied the idea of a 'third term': 'As far as I know, it is not allowed. Many people are selling hats for 2028, but that is not what I want. I just want to spend four glorious years and then hand it over to someone else.'
This statement sounds light-hearted but inevitably raises the question: did the election results in Canada and Australia last week already sound the alarm for him?
📉 The Canadian election is a classic example:
The Conservative Party, which had once led its opponent by 26 percentage points in polls, ended up losing in the general election.
Party leader Pierre Poilievre couldn't even keep his own parliamentary seat.
One reason is that the Conservative Party has increasingly aligned itself with the Trumpified Republican Party, and voters are not buying it. The party's provocative style towards Trump was also 'not strong enough,' seeming more like a passive acceptance of this political spectrum shift.
📉 Australia is similar:
The Labor Party, led by Albanese, successfully secured re-election, defeating a right-wing challenger who mimicked Trump's approach, even breaking the long-standing 'governing curse' in Australian politics.
These two results send a signal:
The once globally popular 'anti-establishment wave' is receding.
Right-wing leaders copying Trump's rhetoric and strategies no longer bring electoral dividends; instead, they have become a warning signal to voters.
In the current context of heightened geopolitical uncertainty, more voters are beginning to embrace predictable governance and a stable system, rather than blindly betting on candidates who 'disrupt the old order.'