Daily line false breakout? The unemployment rate is the key, tonight's unemployment rate will determine the direction of major players' bets

Macroeconomic:

Tonight's non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate will be released, and one thing that worries me the most is that the non-farm data and unemployment rate may not be synchronized. From the small non-farm data, we can see that the employment data is not very good, and the non-farm data may fall short of expectations. However, the key point is the unemployment rate. If the unemployment rate is higher than expected, the market will accelerate the logic of interest rate cuts. If the unemployment rate is lower than the expected value of 4.2%, the market will start to decline in the short term.

The current market expectation is that the unemployment rate remains unchanged while the job market is not strong enough. In this case, the US stock market will continue to slowly recover. However, if the job market is strong enough while the unemployment rate remains unchanged, it may lead the Federal Reserve and the current macro market to change direction, resulting in a market decline.

Therefore, the important indicator lies in the determining factors of the unemployment rate. If everything meets expectations or there are not significant fluctuations, then the market will continue to slowly experience a period of recovery sentiment.

Technical aspect:

The larger level may be a false breakout, just pay attention to the risks.

BTC Daily Line - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis

Bitcoin's trend has now broken through the consolidation range, and the risks above are actually a bit large; it may be a false breakout. Pay attention to two very important levels, around 96200 and around 95800. At these two levels, you can choose to take a light position long, preferably near 95800. If it breaks below, then this false breakout will be established, and the short position around 97400 can continue.

ETH Altcoin Analysis of Large and Small Levels

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