1. Bull-bear dividing line: Analysis of the 1830 level
1830 is the core pivot point of the short-term trend:
- Holding steady and looking bullish: If it retraces but does not break this level, it indicates strong bullish support, and the market continues upward, target resistance levels at 1872→1903→1928.
- Bearish if it breaks: If this level is effectively lost (confirmed with candlesticks), a pullback will start on the 1-2 hour level, with support levels at 1800→1762→1730.
2. Key points for long and short directions
Upward pressure level (bullish target)
1. Short-term resistance: 1872 (recent high testing point, watch for 1903 after breaking)
2. Medium-term resistance: 1903 (historical trading dense area, needs to break with volume)
3. Long-term resistance: 1928 (integer level + near previous high, strong psychological resistance)
Downward support level (bearish target)
1. First support: 1800 (psychological level, if it breaks will probe down to 1762)
2. Second support: 1762 (medium-term trend support, corresponding to previous fluctuation low)
3. Strong support: 1730 (recent pullback extreme, critical point for bearish strength)
3. Operational strategies by scenario
Scenario 1: Stabilizing above 1830 (bullish)
- Aggressive strategy: Light long position on a pullback to 1830-1840, stop loss at 1820, targets at 1872, 1903, 1928 (reduce position after breaking previous high).
- Conservative strategy: Enter after confirming a pullback following the break of 1872, avoiding false breakout risks.
Scenario 2: Break below 1830 (bearish)
- Aggressive strategy: Short directly after breaking below 1830, stop loss at 1840, targets at 1800, 1762, 1730 (be cautious when chasing shorts after a break).
- Conservative strategy: Short after a rebound to 1830 is blocked, target as above, take profit near support level.
4. Risk control and summary
1. Position management: Single position ≤5%, stop loss range 30-50 points (e.g., long stop loss at 1820, short stop loss at 1840).
2. Warning signals: Lack of volume on the upside should guard against a pullback, long wicks on downturns should guard against a rebound, adjust strategies based on market news (such as ETH upgrade dynamics).
3. Summary in one sentence: Buy around 1830 and look for resistance; if it breaks, look for support. Once the trend is clear, go with the flow, and strictly enforce take-profit and stop-loss.$ETH #以太坊走势