$BTC breaks through $96,000, is it the horn of a bull market, or a bear market dead cat bounce?
In the past few months, the market has experienced a long winter of confidence, leaving many investors disheartened. However, with recent signs of a market rebound, people are starting to rekindle hope, eager to seize every possible opportunity. But here, I would like to kindly remind everyone not to be overly afraid of missing this wave of行情，因为 bull market from the beginning was never achieved overnight.
Currently, I personally believe this is just a rebound after the market experienced overselling. Market funds have a positive expectation of potential policies from the Trump administration, and everyone is hoping for substantial positive news to drive the market. However, considering Trump's past style and political methods, no one can guarantee that he won't do something unexpected next, which could even deliver a shock to the market.
The performance of this round of the market is indeed quite lamentable. Aside from those holding BTC who may have made some gains, most long-term holders of other small coins are in a state of floating losses, and the market is filled with helplessness and anxiety.
I personally think that the current rise of $BTC is mainly driven by various policy benefits. At this historic moment, the liquidity of the dollar remains relatively scarce, while BTC's market share has reached a new high. Behind this market pattern, global financial markets are finding new balance points among different asset classes during the dollar expansion period and interest rate cuts.
However, a truly active bull market must be sustained under sufficient dollar liquidity support. When there is enough dollar liquidity in the market, the activity of the financial market will further increase, and funds will seek more attractive opportunities among different asset classes. And that day, I believe, will surely come. Until then, all we can do is patiently wait, closely monitor market changes, and wait for clearer signals to emerge.
Strength will earn trust, sincerity will earn reliance.
I am responsible for being honest, and you are responsible for watching closely.
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