Today is May 1, 2025. Bitcoin (BTC) is still oscillating in the range of 93,000 to 95,000, but the market has entered a critical turning point. Based on on-chain data and institutional holding analysis, 110,000 is definitely not the end point of this bull market; breaking new highs is just a matter of time! The current core conflict is: will the main force choose to push aggressively or wash out the market before breaking through?

🔥 Two scripts and response strategies

Script 1: Direct push (40% probability)

Core logic:

Institutions continue to accumulate (e.g., MicroStrategy increased its holdings of 15,000 BTC at an average price of $92,700);

Expectations for Fed rate cuts are rising, and macro liquidity easing is boosting risk assets;

The technical 4-hour chart has stabilized above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and RSI (56) is ready to launch.

Options strategy:

Buy call options at 95,000 (strike price 110,000): Premium is about 3%-5%, aiming for non-linear returns after a breakthrough;

Bull market spread combination: Buy call at 95,000 + sell call at 105,000, reducing premium costs and locking in a $10,000 profit space.

Script 2: Drop first, then rise (60% probability)

Currently following script 1

Options strategy:

Protective put + call combination: Hold spot while buying put options at 88,000 (hedging against downwards risk), and sell call options at 95,000 (earning premiums);

Long volatility strategy: Simultaneously buy call and put options at 95,000 (straddle), betting on extreme volatility breakthroughs.

💡 Beginner-friendly strategy: Participate in major trends at low cost

If worried about directional misjudgment, you can try:

Spot + options hedge:

70% of the capital is in spot positions, with the remaining 30% buying call options at 110,000 (expiration at the end of June);

When it drops below 90,000, use options profits to hedge against spot losses.

Gradual position building method:

Current price to buy 20% position, add 30% if it retreats to 90,000, chase up 50% if it breaks 95,000.

🚨 Blood lessons: Avoid these pitfalls at all costs!

Refuse high leverage: A 20x contract only needs 5% volatility to liquidate, while BTC's daily volatility often exceeds 8%;

Beware of altcoin traps: Recent air coins like TRUMP have surged and plummeted, 99% of altcoins will eventually go to zero;

Stop-loss discipline first: Must reduce position if losses exceed 3%, and exit immediately if a key support level (like 91,500) is broken.

🌈 Mental training: Is the bull market the graveyard for retail investors?

"When you start to feel anxious about missing out, it is often a precursor to the main force harvesting profits."

Stay calm, adhere to low leverage + gradual position building + hedging strategies, using options tools to lock in risks within a controllable range. Remember: In a bull market, making money relies on position; in a bear market, making money relies on patience!

⚠️ Disclaimer: This article only provides market communication and does not constitute investment advice.

#Bitcoin market#Options strategy