#特朗普就职百日
5/1 Evening Analysis and Trading Suggestions for Bitcoin's Future Four-Hour Trend by A-Ping in the Crypto Circle
#BTC走势分析 Short-Term Trend Judgment
1. Technical Indicator Signals:
BOLL Indicator: Current price (95,210) is close to the upper band (95,616.5), facing resistance. If it cannot break through, it may pull back to the middle band (94,746.5) or lower band (93,876.6).
MACD: DIF is below DEA and MACD histogram is negative, indicating a bearish short-term momentum, but be cautious of potential bottom divergence.
SAR (93,561.1): Price is above SAR, indicating a short-term upward trend, but must be verified with other indicators.
2. Key Support and Resistance:
Resistance: 95,616.5 (BOLL Upper Band), 95,768.4 (Financial High Point).
Support: 94,746.5 (BOLL Middle Band), 93,876.6 (BOLL Lower Band), 93,000 (Psychological Level).
1. Buy Suggestions:
Aggressive Long Position: If the price stabilizes above the BOLL Middle Band (94,746.5) with increased volume, a small position can be taken long, targeting 95,600.
Conservative Long Position: If the price pulls back near 93,876 (BOLL Lower Band) and MACD shows a golden cross, positions can be built in batches, with a stop loss at 93,000.
2. Sell/Short Suggestions:
Short Entry: If the price faces resistance near 95,041 (close to current price) and shows top signals (such as long upper shadow, shrinking volume), a short position can be opened, targeting down to 94,746 (Middle Band), breaking below to look at 93,876.
Stop Loss Setting: Strict stop loss at 98,900 (user liquidation price), but recommended to tighten to 96,000 to control risk.
3. Risk Warning:
- Current price is close to the resistance zone, if it breaks through 95,616.5, it may trigger short stop losses, accelerating the rise above 96,000.
- Negative MACD indicates short-term bearishness, but be wary of oversold rebounds.
#BTC Key Monitoring Signals
Volume: If volume decreases during a drop, the pullback may be limited; if it breaks down with increased volume below 94,746, the short-term trend turns bearish. $BTC
MACD Golden Cross/Death Cross: If DIF crosses above DEA, a rebound may begin; if it continues to decline, bears dominate.
Summary by A-Ping in the Crypto Circle: The trend within four hours leans towards a slight downward fluctuation, focusing on resistance at 95,600 and support at 94,746. Shorts need to have strict stop losses, and longs should wait for a signal of stabilization after a pullback.
$BTC #
