Predictions are just guesses

They cannot be the basis for opening a position

Trading is based on actual circumstances

Whether the prediction posts are right or wrong, do not trade based on them. Many people often say they lost money after reading this post or made money after reading that post. In fact, trading should not rely on posts; doing so can lead to significant losses. Why?

First, if the post's prediction is correct, for example, a major drop in May, how do you know where the drop starts? When does it begin? How far down is considered a major drop? Or is it possible that there could be a rally before a major drop? Can you hold onto the gains or losses in between? Thus, the post only provides you with a direction, not a reference for your trades. Trading should always be based on the current situation, whether to go long or short—never gamble. Do not open positions based on uncertain trades. I always emphasize that short at support levels and short at resistance levels, and do not trade in between these levels; this way, your win rate can improve.

Second, if the prediction is wrong and you trade based on the post, you will almost certainly lose money. Therefore, whether you read my posts or others', as long as they predict the future, they can serve as a reference, but cannot be the basis for opening a position. This is not about trust or accuracy of the prediction; rather, trading cannot rely on predictions but must depend on technical analysis, market feel, and the specific current situation. This is why many people can profit from watching my live broadcasts, as the choices made in the live broadcast are based on real-time situations.