Ethereum (ETH) Future Price Analysis: The Game of Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term Potential

In 2025, the ETH price may experience a "deep squat jump" trend. In the short term, a shift in Federal Reserve policy, continuous inflow of ETF funds, and the Layer 2 expansion effect after the Dencun upgrade will drive it past the resistance levels of $4000-5000. If market sentiment improves, it may challenge $6000-7000 by the end of the year.

In the medium term (2026-2027), the core logic will shift towards technological empowerment and scenario penetration. After the implementation of Pectra sharding technology, a TPS exceeding 100,000 will reshape the competitiveness of the DeFi and NFT ecosystems. Coupled with the capital overflow effect after Bitcoin's halving, the price center of ETH may rise to the range of $8000-12000.

In the long term (2028-2030), three triple variables must be monitored: first, the SEC's regulatory classification of staking rewards may trigger compliance shocks; second, the encroachment of competing chains like Solana in high-throughput scenarios; third, the potential threat of quantum computing to ECDSA signatures. If the technological moat is solid and institutional staking rates exceed 40%, ETH is expected to challenge the historical high of $15000-20000, but caution is needed regarding the "short bull and long bear" cycle in crypto.