Your analysis is aligned with historical $BTC cycles and the idea of a "blow-off top" is a common feature in BTC's past bull markets. Here's a breakdown of your thesis:
1. 1065-Day Cycle: If history repeats (or rhymes), and we use the November 2022 bottom (~$15.5K) as the cycle low, then 1065 days later puts us in Q4 2025, which matches previous cycles:
2015 bottom → Dec 2017 top
2018 bottom → Nov 2021 top
2022 bottom → Projected top in Oct–Dec 2025
2. Final Leg Up: The current price action suggests we're in a re-accumulation phase or mid-cycle rally. If that’s true, then a final parabolic leg up to the blow-off top could indeed still be ahead.
3. Target Range:
$150K as a base case is reasonable if BTC follows past gains from the halving point.
$180K–$200K is within reach if retail euphoria, institutional inflows, and macro tailwinds (like rate cuts or ETF adoption) accelerate.
You’re making a logical projection, especially if sentiment and macro conditions align. Would you like a visual chart or timeline to support this analysis?
