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Binance Coin (BNB), the native token of the Binance ecosystem, has shown strong performance in the crypto market, establishing itself as one of the leading cryptocurrencies. As of April 30, 2025, BNB is trading around $603, according to recent market data. In this article, we will explore price predictions for BNB in the next quarter (May-July 2025), analyzing technical, fundamental, and sentiment factors while maintaining a critical approach to prevailing narratives.
Technical analysis and price projections
Recent technical analysis suggests a mixed outlook for BNB in the short term. According to sources like InvestingHaven, BNB could fluctuate between $581 and $1,000 in 2025, with an estimated average of $790. For the next quarter, several specific projections point to a tighter range:
May 2025: Changelly estimates that BNB could reach a high of $676.31, with a low of $612.71 and an average of $644.51. CoinCodex, on the other hand, predicts a range of $608.87 to $665.24 in early May, with a potential increase of 9.26% to $665.24 by May 5. However, it also projects a drop of 38.15% by the end of May, reaching $376.60, indicating high volatility.
June 2025: Changelly expects a rise to a high of $663.80, with a low of $574.03 and an average of $618.92. AMBCrypto projects an average of $721.98, with a range between $671.44 and $772.52, showing a more bullish sentiment.
July 2025: Changelly forecasts an average of $608.28, while AMBCrypto estimates an average of $729.86, with a high of $780.95. CoinCodex, however, anticipates a bearish trend in July, with a possible drop of 37.53%, which could place BNB in a lower range if this scenario materializes.
In technical analysis, recent posts on X indicate that BNB faces technical resistance at $610-$620, with an accumulation zone between $590 and $610. A breakout above $610 could trigger a bullish move towards $620 or higher, but a rejection at this resistance could lead to a correction towards $575-$580, key support levels.
Fundamental factors
Binance ecosystem and adoption: BNB benefits from the strength of Binance, the largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume. The continuous expansion of the ecosystem, including BNB Chain and its use in DeFi and dApps, supports its growth. For example, an increase in the adoption of BNB Chain for decentralized applications could raise the demand for the token.
Token burn mechanism: Binance conducts quarterly burns of BNB, reducing its circulating supply. The most recent burn, on April 16, 2025, eliminated 1.57 million tokens (valued at over $1 billion), which could exert upward pressure on the price by decreasing supply.
Regulation: Regulation remains a critical factor. Although InvestingHaven highlights that regulatory stabilization is key for BNB to surpass $1,000, concerns persist. Benzinga points out that regulatory uncertainty, especially in markets like the U.S., could limit BNB's growth if not resolved favorably.
Market sentiment
Market sentiment is mixed but with a slight bullish bias. According to Changelly, the Fear & Greed Index shows a score of 47 (neutral), with 53% of green days in the last 30 days. Posts on X reflect short-term optimism, with some analysts highlighting technical patterns like symmetrical triangles and double bottoms suggesting a potential rally towards $618-$620 in May. However, others warn of a possible correction if the $620 resistance is not surpassed.
Critical perspective
Although technical and fundamental predictions point to potential growth, overly optimistic narratives should be questioned. BNB's dependence on the success of Binance makes it vulnerable to unforeseen events, such as regulatory issues or changes in the exchange's leadership. Additionally, the high volatility projected by CoinCodex (up to a 38% drop in May) suggests that investors should be cautious. Token burns are positive, but their real impact on price may be limited if the crypto market as a whole enters a bearish phase.
Prediction for the quarter
Considering the above factors, BNB could experience moderate growth in the next quarter, but with significant volatility. My prediction is that BNB will fluctuate between $550 and $780 from May to July 2025. May could see a peak towards $670 if the $620 resistance is surpassed, but a correction towards $570 is possible if the market does not sustain momentum. June and July could stabilize around $700-$730 if regulatory conditions improve and the Binance ecosystem continues to expand. However, a drop to $550 should not be ruled out if bearish pressures prevail.
Conclusion
BNB has solid fundamentals, but its trajectory in the next quarter will depend on how it navigates technical resistances, regulatory dynamics, and market sentiment. Investors should keep an eye on key levels of $610-$620 and be prepared for volatility. As always, it is crucial to do your own research and manage risk carefully in such an unpredictable market as cryptocurrency. Stay informed and act cautiously!