Short Signal Confirmation: Technical Breakout Warning
1 Key Indicator Anomalies
Price continuously fails to test resistance levels (see USD1-USD30 range)
Sudden volume drop followed by a sharp decline (USD44-USD50 structure damage)
Multi-period EMA12/26 death cross pattern emerging
2/Classic Patterns Triggered
Descending triangle breakout (USD50-USD70 range)
Head and shoulders right shoulder completed (USD80-USD100 forming neckline breakdown)
3 Quantitative Strategy Signals
• Bollinger Bands opening widening + price breaking below the lower band
• MACD histogram accelerating below zero line (-DI crossing above +DI)
• RSI(14) oversold region stagnation (currently reported at 28.6)
Risk Control Focus
▸ Stop-loss level: Previous high +3% volatility buffer
▸ Target level: Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level
▸ Position suggestion: ≤5% of total capital (leverage ≤3x)
Operational Logic
"High Probability Reversal Area" + "Momentum Confirmation" = Technical Short Selling Opportunity