#特朗普就职百日 1. Core Policy Effects and Controversies

Economy and Trade: Turbulence and Backlash

Tariff war triggers global turmoil: The Trump administration, under the guise of 'reciprocal tariffs', raised tax rates on Chinese goods from 34% to 145%, leading to chaos in the supply chains of American companies, skyrocketing costs, and forcing retail giants like Walmart to resume imports and bear additional costs. The S&P 500 index fell by 8%, the dollar index dropped below the 100 mark, consumer confidence index declined for four consecutive months to 52.2, and inflation expectations rose to the highest level since 1981.

Economic disparity and pressure on livelihoods: Although US stocks rose temporarily due to policy expectations, job growth in manufacturing did not meet promises, and middle- and low-income families faced increased burdens due to rising prices (clothing +65%, footwear +87%). 72% of the public believes that tariff policies will lead to economic recession, and 59% expect personal finances to suffer.

Immigration and Border Control: Hardline Policies Encounter Obstacles

Mass deportation plans hindered: Initiated the 'largest mass deportation in history', covering 11 million undocumented immigrants, but several measures (such as abolishing 'birthright citizenship' and restoring the 'Remain in Mexico' policy) were halted by the courts due to constitutional controversies. 45% of the public supports his immigration policies, a decrease of 6 percentage points since March.

Administrative measures strengthen control: Declared a 'national emergency' at the border, invoking public health provisions to accelerate deportations, but the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention questioned its legality.

Diplomacy and Global Order: Unilateralism Intensifies Conflicts

'America First' impacts multilateral systems: Withdrew from the Paris Climate Agreement, threatened to reclaim control over the Panama Canal, and urged NATO allies to increase military spending, prompting counter tariffs from the EU, Canada, and 53 other countries. The global supply chain accelerates 'de-Americanization', with the EU shifting to deepen trade with China to hedge risks.

Geopolitical competition intensifies: Joint military exercises with Japan and South Korea pressure China in the South China Sea and Taiwan Strait, but lack substantial diplomatic outcomes, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowering the global economic growth forecast for 2025 to 2.8%.

Domestic Politics and Legal Challenges: Power Expansion and Opposition

Concentration of executive power: Reclassifying federal employees through 'Schedule F', dismissing civil servants appointed by the Biden administration, undermining the independence of the bureaucracy, saving $8 billion annually but exacerbating the loss of professional capabilities.