#特朗普就职百日
🔮 Mainstream Cryptocurrency Today's Market Analysis
1. Bitcoin: If it doesn't break 93k, it remains a bull market
• Key Levels:
o Support: 93,500U (Daily MA30 + On-chain liquidation cluster, if it breaks, watch for 92k)
o Resistance: 95,500U (Previous high + CME gap fill, must break to reach 100k)
• Scenario:
o Daytime oscillation range: 93,300-95,500U, likely to stagnate before US stock market opens;
o Risk Points: MACD top divergence + shrinking volume, if it breaks below 93k, it may spike to 92k;
o Action: Lightly accumulate long positions at 93,300 on a pullback, cut losses if it breaks below 92,500; take partial profits above 95,500
2. Ether: Watch the death line at 1,750U
• Technical Analysis:
o Support: 1,750U (Psychological level + Daily MA30), if it breaks, it heads straight for 1,680U liquidation zone;
o Resistance: 1,850U (Fibonacci 50% retracement level), must break to reverse;
• Strategy:
o Ether has become a “follower”, only suitable for bottom fishing on sharp declines + shorting on rebounds, target around 1,720U for a quick profit, stop loss at 1,690U;
o Want to change the trend? Unless it breaks through 1,850U with volume, just lay flat.
3. TRUMP: The whales have deep tricks, run after earning 5%
• News: The hype around Trump's dinner has cooled down, whales are clearly selling at high positions (On-chain unlocking of 270 million U as a warning);
• Beware: The ranking of held coins will close on May 12, whales may dump in advance;
• Key Levels:
o Support: 12U (Intensive area for retail bottom fishing), if it breaks, watch for 9U;
o Resistance: 15U (Previous high trapped positions), must break with new positive news;
• Action:
o Lightly accumulate below 12U for a quick profit, target 14-15U, run after making 10%;
o Beware of whale “runaway kills” before May 22, decisively cut losses if it breaks below 10U.